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Playoff Hub
Playoff Hub
Division 1 · 2026 bracket odds and round-by-round predictions.
Playoff Bracket
1
Howell
57%
8
Grandville
43%
4
Portage Central
39%
5
Hudsonville
61%
2
East Kentwood
89%
7
Brighton
11%
3
Grand Ledge
32%
6
Rockford
68%
1
Clarkston
97%
8
Bloomfield Hills
3%
4
Grand Blanc
60%
5
Hartland
40%
2
Detroit Catholic Central
94%
7
Lake Orion
6%
3
Oxford
59%
6
Davison
41%
1
Howell
37%
5
Hudsonville
63%
2
East Kentwood
72%
6
Rockford
28%
1
Clarkston
70%
4
Grand Blanc
31%
2
Detroit Catholic Central
84%
3
Oxford
16%
5
Hudsonville
26%
2
East Kentwood
74%
1
Clarkston
27%
2
Detroit Catholic Central
73%
2
East Kentwood
41%
2
Detroit Catholic Central
59%
🏆 Championship
2
Detroit Catholic Central
63%
1
Cass Tech
37%
1
Cass Tech
67%
1
Romeo
33%
1
Cass Tech
67%
2
Saline
33%
1
Romeo
71%
2
Stoney Creek
30%
1
Cass Tech
89%
5
Belleville
11%
2
Saline
79%
3
Northville
21%
1
Romeo
79%
5
Macomb Dakota
22%
2
Stoney Creek
70%
3
Rochester Adams
30%
1
Cass Tech
98%
8
Plymouth
2%
4
Dearborn Fordson
37%
5
Belleville
64%
2
Saline
91%
7
Dearborn
9%
3
Northville
65%
6
Woodhaven
35%
1
Romeo
93%
8
Anchor Bay
7%
4
Rochester
29%
5
Macomb Dakota
71%
2
Stoney Creek
94%
7
Macomb LCN
6%
3
Rochester Adams
67%
6
Utica
33%
Region 1 · Game 1
1
Howell
57%
8
Grandville
43%
Region 1 · Game 2
4
Portage Central
39%
5
Hudsonville
61%
Region 1 · Game 3
2
East Kentwood
89%
7
Brighton
11%
Region 1 · Game 4
3
Grand Ledge
32%
6
Rockford
68%
Region 2 · Game 1
1
Clarkston
97%
8
Bloomfield Hills
3%
Region 2 · Game 2
4
Grand Blanc
60%
5
Hartland
40%
Region 2 · Game 3
2
Detroit Catholic Central
94%
7
Lake Orion
6%
Region 2 · Game 4
3
Oxford
59%
6
Davison
41%
Region 3 · Game 1
1
Cass Tech
98%
8
Plymouth
2%
Region 3 · Game 2
4
Dearborn Fordson
37%
5
Belleville
64%
Region 3 · Game 3
2
Saline
91%
7
Dearborn
9%
Region 3 · Game 4
3
Northville
65%
6
Woodhaven
35%
Region 4 · Game 1
1
Romeo
93%
8
Anchor Bay
7%
Region 4 · Game 2
4
Rochester
29%
5
Macomb Dakota
71%
Region 4 · Game 3
2
Stoney Creek
94%
7
Macomb LCN
6%
Region 4 · Game 4
3
Rochester Adams
67%
6
Utica
33%
Region 1 · Game 1
1
Howell
37%
5
Hudsonville
63%
Region 1 · Game 2
2
East Kentwood
72%
6
Rockford
28%
Region 2 · Game 1
1
Clarkston
70%
4
Grand Blanc
31%
Region 2 · Game 2
2
Detroit Catholic Central
84%
3
Oxford
16%
Region 3 · Game 1
1
Cass Tech
89%
5
Belleville
11%
Region 3 · Game 2
2
Saline
79%
3
Northville
21%
Region 4 · Game 1
1
Romeo
79%
5
Macomb Dakota
22%
Region 4 · Game 2
2
Stoney Creek
70%
3
Rochester Adams
30%
Region 1
5
Hudsonville
26%
2
East Kentwood
74%
Region 2
1
Clarkston
27%
2
Detroit Catholic Central
73%
Region 3
1
Cass Tech
67%
2
Saline
33%
Region 4
1
Romeo
71%
2
Stoney Creek
30%
Semifinal 1
2
East Kentwood
41%
2
Detroit Catholic Central
59%
Semifinal 2
1
Cass Tech
67%
1
Romeo
33%
Championship
2
Detroit Catholic Central
63%
1
Cass Tech
37%
Regions
Region 1
1
Howell
8
Grandville
4
Portage Central
5
Hudsonville
2
East Kentwood
7
Brighton
3
Grand Ledge
6
Rockford
Region 2
1
Clarkston
8
Bloomfield Hills
4
Grand Blanc
5
Hartland
2
Detroit Catholic Central
7
Lake Orion
3
Oxford
6
Davison
Region 3
1
Cass Tech
8
Plymouth
4
Dearborn Fordson
5
Belleville
2
Saline
7
Dearborn
3
Northville
6
Woodhaven
Region 4
1
Romeo
8
Anchor Bay
4
Rochester
5
Macomb Dakota
2
Stoney Creek
7
Macomb LCN
3
Rochester Adams
6
Utica
Toughest Regions
Easiest
Toughest
R1
44.14
R2
40.05
R3
31.10
R4
25.03
Championship Odds
Round-by-Round Odds
| Team | Rgn | Seed | R2% | QF% | SF% | Final% | Champ% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R2 | #2 | 94.2% | 80.9% | 63.1% | 43.1% | 31.3% | |
| R3 | #1 | 97.6% | 87.8% | 64.6% | 49.0% | 24.2% | |
| R1 | #2 | 88.8% | 67.2% | 52.9% | 28.1% | 18.0% | |
| R4 | #1 | 92.8% | 75.7% | 56.4% | 23.1% | 7.5% | |
| R2 | #1 | 97.0% | 70.1% | 24.2% | 11.9% | 5.8% | |
| R3 | #2 | 90.8% | 73.8% | 28.4% | 17.3% | 5.5% | |
| R1 | #5 | 61.5% | 40.1% | 14.1% | 4.6% | 1.9% | |
| R1 | #6 | 67.4% | 22.9% | 14.0% | 4.4% | 1.9% | |
| R4 | #2 | 94.1% | 70.9% | 27.4% | 6.4% | 1.1% | |
| R2 | #3 | 59.3% | 11.8% | 4.9% | 2.0% | 0.7% | |
| R1 | #1 | 57.9% | 23.9% | 6.6% | 1.6% | 0.5% | |
| R2 | #4 | 59.2% | 19.2% | 3.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% | |
| R4 | #5 | 70.9% | 18.1% | 9.0% | 1.6% | 0.3% | |
| R1 | #4 | 38.5% | 21.2% | 5.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% | |
| R1 | #3 | 32.6% | 6.6% | 3.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| R2 | #5 | 40.8% | 10.4% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| R2 | #6 | 40.7% | 5.9% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| R3 | #3 | 66.1% | 16.9% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | |
| R3 | #5 | 64.6% | 8.8% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | |
| R4 | #3 | 66.2% | 21.3% | 4.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| R1 | #7 | 11.2% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| R1 | #8 | 42.1% | 14.7% | 2.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | |
| R2 | #7 | 5.8% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| R2 | #8 | 3.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| R3 | #4 | 35.4% | 3.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| R3 | #6 | 33.9% | 6.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| R3 | #7 | 9.2% | 3.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| R3 | #8 | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| R4 | #4 | 29.1% | 4.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| R4 | #6 | 33.8% | 7.0% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| R4 | #7 | 5.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| R4 | #8 | 7.2% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Most Likely Championship Matchups
21.1%
chance
13.8%
chance
10.0%
chance
7.5%
chance
6.5%
chance
5.8%
chance
4.9%
chance
2.8%
chance
2.7%
chance
2.3%
chance
| # | Team | Region | Seed | Rating | R2% | QF% | SF% | Final% | Champ% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | R2 | #2 | Detroit Catholic Central — 2026 W9 (#1) | 94.2% | 80.9% | 63.1% | 43.1% | 31.3% | |
| 2 | R3 | #1 | Detroit Cass Tech — 2026 W9 (#4) | 97.6% | 87.8% | 64.6% | 49.0% | 24.2% | |
| 3 | R1 | #2 | East Kentwood — 2026 W9 (#2) | 88.8% | 67.2% | 52.9% | 28.1% | 18.0% | |
| 4 | R4 | #1 | Romeo — 2026 W9 (#7) | 92.8% | 75.7% | 56.4% | 23.1% | 7.5% | |
| 5 | R2 | #1 | Clarkston — 2026 W9 (#6) | 97.0% | 70.1% | 24.2% | 11.9% | 5.8% | |
| 6 | R3 | #2 | Saline — 2026 W9 (#8) | 90.8% | 73.8% | 28.4% | 17.3% | 5.5% | |
| 7 | R1 | #5 | Hudsonville — 2026 W9 (#14) | 61.5% | 40.1% | 14.1% | 4.6% | 1.9% | |
| 8 | R1 | #6 | Rockford — 2026 W9 (#9) | 67.4% | 22.9% | 14.0% | 4.4% | 1.9% | |
| 9 | R4 | #2 | Rochester Hills Stoney Creek — 2026 W9 (#30) | 94.1% | 70.9% | 27.4% | 6.4% | 1.1% | |
| 10 | R2 | #3 | Oxford — 2026 W9 (#18) | 59.3% | 11.8% | 4.9% | 2.0% | 0.7% | |
| 11 | R1 | #1 | Howell — 2026 W9 (#25) | 57.9% | 23.9% | 6.6% | 1.6% | 0.5% | |
| 12 | R2 | #4 | Grand Blanc — 2026 W9 (#19) | 59.2% | 19.2% | 3.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% | |
| 13 | R4 | #5 | Macomb Dakota — 2026 W9 (#50) | 70.9% | 18.1% | 9.0% | 1.6% | 0.3% | |
| 14 | R1 | #4 | Portage Central — 2026 W9 (#22) | 38.5% | 21.2% | 5.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% | |
| 15 | R1 | #3 | Grand Ledge — 2026 W9 (#29) | 32.6% | 6.6% | 3.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 16 | R2 | #5 | Hartland — 2026 W9 (#36) | 40.8% | 10.4% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 17 | R2 | #6 | Davison — 2026 W9 (#28) | 40.7% | 5.9% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 18 | R3 | #3 | Northville — 2026 W9 (#51) | 66.1% | 16.9% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | |
| 19 | R3 | #5 | Belleville — 2026 W9 (#53) | 64.6% | 8.8% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | |
| 20 | R4 | #3 | Rochester Adams — 2026 W9 (#66) | 66.2% | 21.3% | 4.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 21 | R1 | #7 | Brighton — 2026 W9 (#49) | 11.2% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 22 | R1 | #8 | Grandville — 2026 W9 (#37) | 42.1% | 14.7% | 2.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | |
| 23 | R2 | #7 | Lake Orion — 2026 W9 (#58) | 5.8% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 24 | R2 | #8 | Bloomfield Hills — 2026 W9 (#229) | 3.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 25 | R3 | #4 | Dearborn Fordson — 2026 W9 (#84) | 35.4% | 3.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 26 | R3 | #6 | Brownstown Woodhaven — 2026 W9 (#90) | 33.9% | 6.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 27 | R3 | #7 | Dearborn — 2026 W9 (#115) | 9.2% | 3.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 28 | R3 | #8 | Plymouth — 2026 W9 (#202) | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 29 | R4 | #4 | Rochester — 2026 W9 (#104) | 29.1% | 4.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 30 | R4 | #6 | Utica — 2026 W9 (#128) | 33.8% | 7.0% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 31 | R4 | #7 | Macomb L'Anse Creuse North — 2026 W9 (#250) | 5.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 32 | R4 | #8 | New Baltimore Anchor Bay — 2026 W9 (#139) | 7.2% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Top 10 most likely championship matchups based on 32 teams.
21.1%
Detroit Catholic Central
31.3% champ
vs
Cass Tech
24.2% champ
13.8%
Cass Tech
24.2% champ
vs
East Kentwood
18.0% champ
10.0%
Detroit Catholic Central
31.3% champ
vs
Romeo
7.5% champ
7.5%
Detroit Catholic Central
31.3% champ
vs
Saline
5.5% champ
6.5%
East Kentwood
18.0% champ
vs
Romeo
7.5% champ
5.8%
Cass Tech
24.2% champ
vs
Clarkston
5.8% champ
4.9%
East Kentwood
18.0% champ
vs
Saline
5.5% champ
2.8%
Detroit Catholic Central
31.3% champ
vs
Stoney Creek
1.1% champ
2.7%
Romeo
7.5% champ
vs
Clarkston
5.8% champ
2.3%
Cass Tech
24.2% champ
vs
Hudsonville
1.9% champ
Playoff Hub
Division 2 · 2026 bracket odds and round-by-round predictions.
Playoff Bracket
1
Byron Center
77%
8
Muskegon
23%
4
TC West
59%
5
Portage Northern
41%
2
Caledonia
90%
7
East Lansing
10%
3
Mona Shores
91%
6
TC Central
10%
1
Milford
81%
8
Midland
20%
4
Midland Dow
44%
5
WL Western
56%
2
South Lyon
90%
7
Flushing
11%
3
South Lyon East
54%
6
Saginaw Heritage
47%
1
Byron Center
86%
4
TC West
15%
2
Caledonia
44%
3
Mona Shores
56%
1
Milford
51%
5
WL Western
49%
2
South Lyon
72%
3
South Lyon East
28%
1
Byron Center
49%
3
Mona Shores
51%
1
Milford
39%
2
South Lyon
61%
3
Mona Shores
65%
2
South Lyon
36%
🏆 Championship
3
Mona Shores
29%
2
St. Mary's Prep
71%
2
St. Mary's Prep
83%
2
GP South
17%
1
Brother Rice
24%
2
St. Mary's Prep
76%
1
Gib Carlson
30%
2
GP South
70%
1
Brother Rice
84%
5
North Farmington
16%
2
St. Mary's Prep
96%
3
SCS Lakeview
4%
1
Gib Carlson
74%
4
Allen Park
26%
2
GP South
77%
3
Temp Bedford
23%
1
Brother Rice
89%
8
Roseville
11%
4
Ferndale
48%
5
North Farmington
52%
2
St. Mary's Prep
95%
7
Groves
5%
3
SCS Lakeview
51%
6
Seaholm
50%
1
Gib Carlson
94%
8
Mumford
6%
4
Allen Park
52%
5
Livonia Franklin
48%
2
GP South
92%
7
Crestwood
8%
3
Temp Bedford
70%
6
Livonia Churchill
30%
Region 1 · Game 1
1
Byron Center
77%
8
Muskegon
23%
Region 1 · Game 2
4
TC West
59%
5
Portage Northern
41%
Region 1 · Game 3
2
Caledonia
90%
7
East Lansing
10%
Region 1 · Game 4
3
Mona Shores
91%
6
TC Central
10%
Region 2 · Game 1
1
Milford
81%
8
Midland
20%
Region 2 · Game 2
4
Midland Dow
44%
5
WL Western
56%
Region 2 · Game 3
2
South Lyon
90%
7
Flushing
11%
Region 2 · Game 4
3
South Lyon East
54%
6
Saginaw Heritage
47%
Region 3 · Game 1
1
Brother Rice
89%
8
Roseville
11%
Region 3 · Game 2
4
Ferndale
48%
5
North Farmington
52%
Region 3 · Game 3
2
St. Mary's Prep
95%
7
Groves
5%
Region 3 · Game 4
3
SCS Lakeview
51%
6
Seaholm
50%
Region 4 · Game 1
1
Gib Carlson
94%
8
Mumford
6%
Region 4 · Game 2
4
Allen Park
52%
5
Livonia Franklin
48%
Region 4 · Game 3
2
GP South
92%
7
Crestwood
8%
Region 4 · Game 4
3
Temp Bedford
70%
6
Livonia Churchill
30%
Region 1 · Game 1
1
Byron Center
86%
4
TC West
15%
Region 1 · Game 2
2
Caledonia
44%
3
Mona Shores
56%
Region 2 · Game 1
1
Milford
51%
5
WL Western
49%
Region 2 · Game 2
2
South Lyon
72%
3
South Lyon East
28%
Region 3 · Game 1
1
Brother Rice
84%
5
North Farmington
16%
Region 3 · Game 2
2
St. Mary's Prep
96%
3
SCS Lakeview
4%
Region 4 · Game 1
1
Gib Carlson
74%
4
Allen Park
26%
Region 4 · Game 2
2
GP South
77%
3
Temp Bedford
23%
Region 1
1
Byron Center
49%
3
Mona Shores
51%
Region 2
1
Milford
39%
2
South Lyon
61%
Region 3
1
Brother Rice
24%
2
St. Mary's Prep
76%
Region 4
1
Gib Carlson
30%
2
GP South
70%
Semifinal 1
3
Mona Shores
65%
2
South Lyon
36%
Semifinal 2
2
St. Mary's Prep
83%
2
GP South
17%
Championship
3
Mona Shores
29%
2
St. Mary's Prep
71%
Regions
Region 1
1
Byron Center
8
Muskegon
4
TC West
5
Portage Northern
2
Caledonia
7
East Lansing
3
Mona Shores
6
TC Central
Region 2
1
Milford
8
Midland
4
Midland Dow
5
WL Western
2
South Lyon
7
Flushing
3
South Lyon East
6
Saginaw Heritage
Region 3
1
Brother Rice
8
Roseville
4
Ferndale
5
North Farmington
2
St. Mary's Prep
7
Groves
3
SCS Lakeview
6
Seaholm
Region 4
1
Gib Carlson
8
Mumford
4
Allen Park
5
Livonia Franklin
2
GP South
7
Crestwood
3
Temp Bedford
6
Livonia Churchill
Toughest Regions
Easiest
Toughest
R1
31.45
R3
27.85
R2
27.52
R4
14.96
Championship Odds
Round-by-Round Odds
| Team | Rgn | Seed | R2% | QF% | SF% | Final% | Champ% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R3 | #2 | 95.1% | 91.2% | 73.8% | 64.3% | 49.8% | |
| R1 | #1 | 76.1% | 66.5% | 34.7% | 24.7% | 10.3% | |
| R1 | #3 | 89.9% | 53.4% | 33.0% | 23.5% | 9.5% | |
| R3 | #1 | 89.2% | 75.3% | 21.8% | 15.3% | 7.9% | |
| R4 | #2 | 91.4% | 74.0% | 56.1% | 13.8% | 6.0% | |
| R1 | #2 | 90.3% | 44.1% | 24.5% | 16.0% | 5.6% | |
| R2 | #2 | 89.7% | 66.2% | 42.1% | 17.5% | 5.2% | |
| R2 | #1 | 79.3% | 42.1% | 20.4% | 6.2% | 1.5% | |
| R2 | #5 | 56.8% | 30.9% | 14.5% | 4.8% | 1.2% | |
| R4 | #1 | 95.7% | 71.4% | 26.9% | 3.7% | 1.0% | |
| R1 | #8 | 23.9% | 16.8% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 0.5% | |
| R2 | #4 | 43.2% | 22.3% | 9.1% | 2.0% | 0.4% | |
| R2 | #3 | 53.2% | 17.5% | 7.2% | 1.2% | 0.2% | |
| R2 | #6 | 46.8% | 13.9% | 5.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% | |
| R4 | #3 | 70.3% | 18.9% | 9.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | |
| R1 | #4 | 58.9% | 11.1% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| R3 | #5 | 51.3% | 10.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| R3 | #7 | 4.9% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| R4 | #4 | 52.0% | 14.8% | 2.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| R1 | #5 | 41.1% | 5.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| R1 | #6 | 10.1% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| R1 | #7 | 9.7% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| R2 | #7 | 10.3% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| R2 | #8 | 20.7% | 4.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| R3 | #3 | 51.2% | 3.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| R3 | #4 | 48.7% | 9.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | |
| R3 | #6 | 48.8% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | |
| R3 | #8 | 10.8% | 4.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| R4 | #5 | 48.0% | 13.2% | 2.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| R4 | #6 | 29.7% | 4.7% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| R4 | #7 | 8.6% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| R4 | #8 | 4.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Most Likely Championship Matchups
15.9%
chance
15.1%
chance
11.3%
chance
10.3%
chance
4.0%
chance
3.8%
chance
3.6%
chance
3.4%
chance
3.2%
chance
3.1%
chance
| # | Team | Region | Seed | Rating | R2% | QF% | SF% | Final% | Champ% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | R3 | #2 | Orchard Lake St Mary's — 2026 W9 (#3) | 95.1% | 91.2% | 73.8% | 64.3% | 49.8% | |
| 2 | R1 | #1 | Byron Center — 2026 W9 (#13) | 76.1% | 66.5% | 34.7% | 24.7% | 10.3% | |
| 3 | R1 | #3 | Muskegon Mona Shores — 2026 W9 (#10) | 89.9% | 53.4% | 33.0% | 23.5% | 9.5% | |
| 4 | R3 | #1 | Bloomfield Hills Brother Rice — 2026 W9 (#17) | 89.2% | 75.3% | 21.8% | 15.3% | 7.9% | |
| 5 | R4 | #2 | Grosse Pointe South — 2026 W9 (#26) | 91.4% | 74.0% | 56.1% | 13.8% | 6.0% | |
| 6 | R1 | #2 | Caledonia — 2026 W9 (#16) | 90.3% | 44.1% | 24.5% | 16.0% | 5.6% | |
| 7 | R2 | #2 | South Lyon — 2026 W9 (#24) | 89.7% | 66.2% | 42.1% | 17.5% | 5.2% | |
| 8 | R2 | #1 | Milford — 2026 W9 (#43) | 79.3% | 42.1% | 20.4% | 6.2% | 1.5% | |
| 9 | R2 | #5 | Walled Lake Western — 2026 W9 (#45) | 56.8% | 30.9% | 14.5% | 4.8% | 1.2% | |
| 10 | R4 | #1 | Gibraltar Carlson — 2026 W9 (#63) | 95.7% | 71.4% | 26.9% | 3.7% | 1.0% | |
| 11 | R1 | #8 | Muskegon — 2026 W9 (#52) | 23.9% | 16.8% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 0.5% | |
| 12 | R2 | #4 | Midland Dow — 2026 W9 (#55) | 43.2% | 22.3% | 9.1% | 2.0% | 0.4% | |
| 13 | R2 | #3 | South Lyon East — 2026 W9 (#64) | 53.2% | 17.5% | 7.2% | 1.2% | 0.2% | |
| 14 | R2 | #6 | Saginaw Heritage — 2026 W9 (#74) | 46.8% | 13.9% | 5.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% | |
| 15 | R4 | #3 | Temperance Bedford — 2026 W9 (#93) | 70.3% | 18.9% | 9.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | |
| 16 | R1 | #4 | Traverse City West — 2026 W9 (#85) | 58.9% | 11.1% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 17 | R3 | #5 | North Farmington — 2026 W9 (#95) | 51.3% | 10.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 18 | R3 | #7 | Birmingham Groves — 2026 W9 (#102) | 4.9% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 19 | R4 | #4 | Allen Park — 2026 W9 (#148) | 52.0% | 14.8% | 2.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 20 | R1 | #5 | Portage Northern — 2026 W9 (#112) | 41.1% | 5.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 21 | R1 | #6 | Traverse City Central — 2026 W9 (#118) | 10.1% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 22 | R1 | #7 | East Lansing — 2026 W9 (#143) | 9.7% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 23 | R2 | #7 | Flushing — 2026 W9 (#169) | 10.3% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 24 | R2 | #8 | Midland — 2026 W9 (#142) | 20.7% | 4.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 25 | R3 | #3 | St Clair Shores Lakeview — 2026 W9 (#122) | 51.2% | 3.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 26 | R3 | #4 | Ferndale — 2026 W9 (#101) | 48.7% | 9.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | |
| 27 | R3 | #6 | Birmingham Seaholm — 2026 W9 (#127) | 48.8% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | |
| 28 | R3 | #8 | Roseville — 2026 W9 (#132) | 10.8% | 4.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 29 | R4 | #5 | Livonia Franklin — 2026 W9 (#154) | 48.0% | 13.2% | 2.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 30 | R4 | #6 | Livonia Churchill — 2026 W9 (#167) | 29.7% | 4.7% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 31 | R4 | #7 | Dearborn Heights Crestwood — 2026 W9 (#205) | 8.6% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 32 | R4 | #8 | Detroit Mumford — 2026 W9 (#357) | 4.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Top 10 most likely championship matchups based on 32 teams.
15.9%
St. Mary's Prep
49.8% champ
vs
Byron Center
10.3% champ
15.1%
St. Mary's Prep
49.8% champ
vs
Mona Shores
9.5% champ
11.3%
St. Mary's Prep
49.8% champ
vs
South Lyon
5.2% champ
10.3%
St. Mary's Prep
49.8% champ
vs
Caledonia
5.6% champ
4.0%
St. Mary's Prep
49.8% champ
vs
Milford
1.5% champ
3.8%
Byron Center
10.3% champ
vs
Brother Rice
7.9% champ
3.6%
Mona Shores
9.5% champ
vs
Brother Rice
7.9% champ
3.4%
Byron Center
10.3% champ
vs
GP South
6.0% champ
3.2%
Mona Shores
9.5% champ
vs
GP South
6.0% champ
3.1%
St. Mary's Prep
49.8% champ
vs
WL Western
1.2% champ
Playoff Hub
Division 3 · 2026 bracket odds and round-by-round predictions.
Playoff Bracket
1
Mount Pleasant
72%
8
Petoskey
28%
4
Cadillac
56%
5
Marquette
44%
2
DeWitt
67%
7
Lowell
33%
3
Coopersville
66%
6
East GR
34%
1
St Joseph
91%
8
Zeeland East
9%
4
Middleville TK
90%
5
Coldwater
11%
2
Zeeland West
74%
7
Niles
27%
3
Harper Creek
66%
6
BC Central
35%
1
Mount Pleasant
74%
4
Cadillac
26%
2
DeWitt
71%
3
Coopersville
29%
1
St Joseph
64%
4
Middleville TK
36%
2
Zeeland West
82%
3
Harper Creek
18%
1
Mount Pleasant
23%
2
DeWitt
77%
1
St Joseph
54%
2
Zeeland West
46%
2
DeWitt
60%
1
St Joseph
40%
🏆 Championship
2
DeWitt
38%
3
Detroit Martin Luther King
62%
1
Chelsea
29%
3
Detroit Martin Luther King
71%
1
Chelsea
59%
2
Mason
41%
5
De La Salle
18%
3
Detroit Martin Luther King
82%
1
Chelsea
79%
5
Linden
21%
2
Mason
71%
3
Fenton
29%
1
Port Huron
19%
5
De La Salle
81%
2
Harper Woods
41%
3
Detroit Martin Luther King
59%
1
Chelsea
95%
8
Waterford Mott
5%
4
Redford Thurston
26%
5
Linden
74%
2
Mason
90%
7
Dexter
10%
3
Fenton
71%
6
Holly
29%
1
Port Huron
55%
8
NB Huron
45%
4
Trenton
30%
5
De La Salle
70%
2
Harper Woods
97%
7
Warren Fitz
3%
3
Detroit Martin Luther King
97%
6
GP North
3%
Region 1 · Game 1
1
Mount Pleasant
72%
8
Petoskey
28%
Region 1 · Game 2
4
Cadillac
56%
5
Marquette
44%
Region 1 · Game 3
2
DeWitt
67%
7
Lowell
33%
Region 1 · Game 4
3
Coopersville
66%
6
East GR
34%
Region 2 · Game 1
1
St Joseph
91%
8
Zeeland East
9%
Region 2 · Game 2
4
Middleville TK
90%
5
Coldwater
11%
Region 2 · Game 3
2
Zeeland West
74%
7
Niles
27%
Region 2 · Game 4
3
Harper Creek
66%
6
BC Central
35%
Region 3 · Game 1
1
Chelsea
95%
8
Waterford Mott
5%
Region 3 · Game 2
4
Redford Thurston
26%
5
Linden
74%
Region 3 · Game 3
2
Mason
90%
7
Dexter
10%
Region 3 · Game 4
3
Fenton
71%
6
Holly
29%
Region 4 · Game 1
1
Port Huron
55%
8
NB Huron
45%
Region 4 · Game 2
4
Trenton
30%
5
De La Salle
70%
Region 4 · Game 3
2
Harper Woods
97%
7
Warren Fitz
3%
Region 4 · Game 4
3
Detroit Martin Luther King
97%
6
GP North
3%
Region 1 · Game 1
1
Mount Pleasant
74%
4
Cadillac
26%
Region 1 · Game 2
2
DeWitt
71%
3
Coopersville
29%
Region 2 · Game 1
1
St Joseph
64%
4
Middleville TK
36%
Region 2 · Game 2
2
Zeeland West
82%
3
Harper Creek
18%
Region 3 · Game 1
1
Chelsea
79%
5
Linden
21%
Region 3 · Game 2
2
Mason
71%
3
Fenton
29%
Region 4 · Game 1
1
Port Huron
19%
5
De La Salle
81%
Region 4 · Game 2
2
Harper Woods
41%
3
Detroit Martin Luther King
59%
Region 1
1
Mount Pleasant
23%
2
DeWitt
77%
Region 2
1
St Joseph
54%
2
Zeeland West
46%
Region 3
1
Chelsea
59%
2
Mason
41%
Region 4
5
De La Salle
18%
3
Detroit Martin Luther King
82%
Semifinal 1
2
DeWitt
60%
1
St Joseph
40%
Semifinal 2
1
Chelsea
29%
3
Detroit Martin Luther King
71%
Championship
2
DeWitt
38%
3
Detroit Martin Luther King
62%
Regions
Region 1
1
Mount Pleasant
8
Petoskey
4
Cadillac
5
Marquette
2
DeWitt
7
Lowell
3
Coopersville
6
East GR
Region 2
1
St Joseph
8
Zeeland East
4
Middleville TK
5
Coldwater
2
Zeeland West
7
Niles
3
Harper Creek
6
BC Central
Region 3
1
Chelsea
8
Waterford Mott
4
Redford Thurston
5
Linden
2
Mason
7
Dexter
3
Fenton
6
Holly
Region 4
1
Port Huron
8
NB Huron
4
Trenton
5
De La Salle
2
Harper Woods
7
Warren Fitz
3
Detroit Martin Luther King
6
GP North
Toughest Regions
Easiest
Toughest
R1
27.81
R2
23.16
R4
21.99
R3
19.18
Championship Odds
Round-by-Round Odds
| Team | Rgn | Seed | R2% | QF% | SF% | Final% | Champ% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R4 | #3 | 98.7% | 58.6% | 50.8% | 38.9% | 28.4% | |
| R4 | #2 | 97.2% | 41.3% | 33.8% | 23.6% | 15.5% | |
| R1 | #2 | 68.0% | 51.5% | 42.5% | 27.8% | 13.3% | |
| R3 | #1 | 95.0% | 77.5% | 50.6% | 18.5% | 9.9% | |
| R2 | #1 | 89.4% | 60.0% | 37.8% | 21.2% | 9.0% | |
| R2 | #2 | 73.1% | 61.8% | 34.2% | 17.6% | 7.2% | |
| R3 | #2 | 89.8% | 67.8% | 33.8% | 10.4% | 4.1% | |
| R1 | #7 | 32.0% | 19.7% | 14.0% | 7.0% | 2.8% | |
| R2 | #4 | 89.6% | 36.9% | 19.0% | 8.1% | 2.3% | |
| R4 | #5 | 69.3% | 56.5% | 12.1% | 5.7% | 2.2% | |
| R1 | #1 | 73.4% | 54.6% | 17.9% | 6.5% | 2.0% | |
| R1 | #3 | 65.5% | 21.5% | 14.5% | 7.1% | 2.0% | |
| R1 | #6 | 34.5% | 7.4% | 4.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% | |
| R3 | #5 | 73.0% | 18.2% | 6.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% | |
| R3 | #3 | 71.7% | 23.8% | 6.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% | |
| R1 | #8 | 26.6% | 14.7% | 2.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| R2 | #3 | 63.6% | 15.1% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| R2 | #7 | 26.9% | 18.1% | 5.0% | 1.5% | 0.1% | |
| R4 | #1 | 54.7% | 13.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| R4 | #4 | 30.7% | 20.7% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| R1 | #4 | 57.1% | 19.1% | 2.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% | |
| R1 | #5 | 42.9% | 11.6% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| R2 | #5 | 10.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| R2 | #6 | 36.4% | 5.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| R2 | #8 | 10.6% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| R3 | #4 | 27.0% | 3.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| R3 | #6 | 28.3% | 5.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| R3 | #7 | 10.2% | 2.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| R3 | #8 | 5.0% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| R4 | #6 | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| R4 | #7 | 2.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| R4 | #8 | 45.3% | 9.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Most Likely Championship Matchups
10.8%
chance
8.2%
chance
6.8%
chance
6.6%
chance
5.1%
chance
5.0%
chance
4.2%
chance
3.9%
chance
3.3%
chance
3.2%
chance
| # | Team | Region | Seed | Rating | R2% | QF% | SF% | Final% | Champ% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | R4 | #3 | Detroit Martin Luther King — 2026 W9 (#5) | 98.7% | 58.6% | 50.8% | 38.9% | 28.4% | |
| 2 | R4 | #2 | Harper Woods — 2026 W9 (#11) | 97.2% | 41.3% | 33.8% | 23.6% | 15.5% | |
| 3 | R1 | #2 | DeWitt — 2026 W9 (#15) | 68.0% | 51.5% | 42.5% | 27.8% | 13.3% | |
| 4 | R3 | #1 | Chelsea — 2026 W9 (#23) | 95.0% | 77.5% | 50.6% | 18.5% | 9.9% | |
| 5 | R2 | #1 | St Joseph — 2026 W9 (#21) | 89.4% | 60.0% | 37.8% | 21.2% | 9.0% | |
| 6 | R2 | #2 | Zeeland West — 2026 W9 (#27) | 73.1% | 61.8% | 34.2% | 17.6% | 7.2% | |
| 7 | R3 | #2 | Mason — 2026 W9 (#38) | 89.8% | 67.8% | 33.8% | 10.4% | 4.1% | |
| 8 | R1 | #7 | Lowell — 2026 W9 (#32) | 32.0% | 19.7% | 14.0% | 7.0% | 2.8% | |
| 9 | R2 | #4 | Middleville Thornapple Kellogg — 2026 W9 (#46) | 89.6% | 36.9% | 19.0% | 8.1% | 2.3% | |
| 10 | R4 | #5 | Warren De La Salle Collegiate — 2026 W9 (#47) | 69.3% | 56.5% | 12.1% | 5.7% | 2.2% | |
| 11 | R1 | #1 | Mount Pleasant — 2026 W9 (#57) | 73.4% | 54.6% | 17.9% | 6.5% | 2.0% | |
| 12 | R1 | #3 | Coopersville — 2026 W9 (#41) | 65.5% | 21.5% | 14.5% | 7.1% | 2.0% | |
| 13 | R1 | #6 | East Grand Rapids — 2026 W9 (#69) | 34.5% | 7.4% | 4.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% | |
| 14 | R3 | #5 | Linden — 2026 W9 (#92) | 73.0% | 18.2% | 6.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% | |
| 15 | R3 | #3 | Fenton — 2026 W9 (#86) | 71.7% | 23.8% | 6.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% | |
| 16 | R1 | #8 | Petoskey — 2026 W9 (#125) | 26.6% | 14.7% | 2.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 17 | R2 | #3 | Battle Creek Harper Creek — 2026 W9 (#108) | 63.6% | 15.1% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 18 | R2 | #7 | Niles — 2026 W9 (#73) | 26.9% | 18.1% | 5.0% | 1.5% | 0.1% | |
| 19 | R4 | #1 | Port Huron — 2026 W9 (#150) | 54.7% | 13.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 20 | R4 | #4 | Trenton — 2026 W9 (#99) | 30.7% | 20.7% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 21 | R1 | #4 | Cadillac — 2026 W9 (#133) | 57.1% | 19.1% | 2.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% | |
| 22 | R1 | #5 | Marquette — 2026 W9 (#157) | 42.9% | 11.6% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 23 | R2 | #5 | Coldwater — 2026 W9 (#223) | 10.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 24 | R2 | #6 | Battle Creek Central — 2026 W9 (#180) | 36.4% | 5.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 25 | R2 | #8 | Zeeland East — 2026 W9 (#182) | 10.6% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 26 | R3 | #4 | Redford Thurston — 2026 W9 (#186) | 27.0% | 3.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 27 | R3 | #6 | Holly — 2026 W9 (#166) | 28.3% | 5.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 28 | R3 | #7 | Dexter — 2026 W9 (#211) | 10.2% | 2.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 29 | R3 | #8 | Waterford Mott — 2026 W9 (#248) | 5.0% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 30 | R4 | #6 | Grosse Pointe North — 2026 W9 (#287) | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 31 | R4 | #7 | Warren Fitzgerald — 2026 W9 (#268) | 2.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 32 | R4 | #8 | New Boston Huron — 2026 W9 (#176) | 45.3% | 9.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Top 10 most likely championship matchups based on 32 teams.
10.8%
Detroit Martin Luther King
28.4% champ
vs
DeWitt
13.3% champ
8.2%
Detroit Martin Luther King
28.4% champ
vs
St Joseph
9.0% champ
6.8%
Detroit Martin Luther King
28.4% champ
vs
Zeeland West
7.2% champ
6.6%
Harper Woods
15.5% champ
vs
DeWitt
13.3% champ
5.1%
DeWitt
13.3% champ
vs
Chelsea
9.9% champ
5.0%
Harper Woods
15.5% champ
vs
St Joseph
9.0% champ
4.2%
Harper Woods
15.5% champ
vs
Zeeland West
7.2% champ
3.9%
Chelsea
9.9% champ
vs
St Joseph
9.0% champ
3.3%
Chelsea
9.9% champ
vs
Zeeland West
7.2% champ
3.2%
Detroit Martin Luther King
28.4% champ
vs
Middleville TK
2.3% champ
Playoff Hub
Division 4 · 2026 bracket odds and round-by-round predictions.
Playoff Bracket
1
Kenowa Hills
87%
8
GR Christian
13%
4
Ludington
45%
5
Fruitport
55%
2
Ada FHE
63%
7
Big Rapids
37%
3
Unity Christian
42%
6
Spring Lake
59%
1
Edwardsburg
72%
8
Vicksburg
28%
4
Portland
35%
5
Paw Paw
65%
2
Stevensville Lakeshore
50%
7
Hastings
50%
3
South Christian
66%
6
Marshall
34%
1
Kenowa Hills
93%
5
Fruitport
7%
2
Ada FHE
53%
6
Spring Lake
48%
1
Edwardsburg
59%
5
Paw Paw
41%
7
Hastings
34%
3
South Christian
66%
1
Kenowa Hills
84%
2
Ada FHE
16%
1
Edwardsburg
63%
3
South Christian
38%
1
Kenowa Hills
62%
1
Edwardsburg
39%
🏆 Championship
1
Kenowa Hills
70%
1
Goodrich
30%
1
Goodrich
76%
6
Country Day
24%
1
Goodrich
53%
2
Dearborn Divine Child
47%
5
Lutheran North
40%
6
Country Day
60%
1
Goodrich
72%
4
St Johns
29%
2
Dearborn Divine Child
71%
3
Adrian
29%
1
Marysville
16%
5
Lutheran North
84%
7
St Clair
24%
6
Country Day
77%
1
Goodrich
92%
8
Williamston
8%
4
St Johns
84%
5
Brandon
16%
2
Dearborn Divine Child
77%
7
Lansing Sexton
23%
3
Adrian
70%
6
Tecumseh
30%
1
Marysville
63%
8
Detroit SE
37%
4
East English
22%
5
Lutheran North
78%
2
Detroit Cody
23%
7
St Clair
77%
3
MH Lamphere
21%
6
Country Day
79%
Region 1 · Game 1
1
Kenowa Hills
87%
8
GR Christian
13%
Region 1 · Game 2
4
Ludington
45%
5
Fruitport
55%
Region 1 · Game 3
2
Ada FHE
63%
7
Big Rapids
37%
Region 1 · Game 4
3
Unity Christian
42%
6
Spring Lake
59%
Region 2 · Game 1
1
Edwardsburg
72%
8
Vicksburg
28%
Region 2 · Game 2
4
Portland
35%
5
Paw Paw
65%
Region 2 · Game 3
2
Stevensville Lakeshore
50%
7
Hastings
50%
Region 2 · Game 4
3
South Christian
66%
6
Marshall
34%
Region 3 · Game 1
1
Goodrich
92%
8
Williamston
8%
Region 3 · Game 2
4
St Johns
84%
5
Brandon
16%
Region 3 · Game 3
2
Dearborn Divine Child
77%
7
Lansing Sexton
23%
Region 3 · Game 4
3
Adrian
70%
6
Tecumseh
30%
Region 4 · Game 1
1
Marysville
63%
8
Detroit SE
37%
Region 4 · Game 2
4
East English
22%
5
Lutheran North
78%
Region 4 · Game 3
2
Detroit Cody
23%
7
St Clair
77%
Region 4 · Game 4
3
MH Lamphere
21%
6
Country Day
79%
Region 1 · Game 1
1
Kenowa Hills
93%
5
Fruitport
7%
Region 1 · Game 2
2
Ada FHE
53%
6
Spring Lake
48%
Region 2 · Game 1
1
Edwardsburg
59%
5
Paw Paw
41%
Region 2 · Game 2
7
Hastings
34%
3
South Christian
66%
Region 3 · Game 1
1
Goodrich
72%
4
St Johns
29%
Region 3 · Game 2
2
Dearborn Divine Child
71%
3
Adrian
29%
Region 4 · Game 1
1
Marysville
16%
5
Lutheran North
84%
Region 4 · Game 2
7
St Clair
24%
6
Country Day
77%
Region 1
1
Kenowa Hills
84%
2
Ada FHE
16%
Region 2
1
Edwardsburg
63%
3
South Christian
38%
Region 3
1
Goodrich
53%
2
Dearborn Divine Child
47%
Region 4
5
Lutheran North
40%
6
Country Day
60%
Semifinal 1
1
Kenowa Hills
62%
1
Edwardsburg
39%
Semifinal 2
1
Goodrich
76%
6
Country Day
24%
Championship
1
Kenowa Hills
70%
1
Goodrich
30%
Regions
Region 1
1
Kenowa Hills
8
GR Christian
4
Ludington
5
Fruitport
2
Ada FHE
7
Big Rapids
3
Unity Christian
6
Spring Lake
Region 2
1
Edwardsburg
8
Vicksburg
4
Portland
5
Paw Paw
2
Stevensville Lakeshore
7
Hastings
3
South Christian
6
Marshall
Region 3
1
Goodrich
8
Williamston
4
St Johns
5
Brandon
2
Dearborn Divine Child
7
Lansing Sexton
3
Adrian
6
Tecumseh
Region 4
1
Marysville
8
Detroit SE
4
East English
5
Lutheran North
2
Detroit Cody
7
St Clair
3
MH Lamphere
6
Country Day
Toughest Regions
Easiest
Toughest
R2
31.23
R1
22.90
R3
19.22
R4
1.31
Championship Odds
Round-by-Round Odds
| Team | Rgn | Seed | R2% | QF% | SF% | Final% | Champ% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | #1 | 86.5% | 80.8% | 69.8% | 49.9% | 39.1% | |
| R3 | #1 | 92.1% | 68.7% | 42.7% | 35.3% | 14.4% | |
| R2 | #1 | 72.3% | 46.6% | 33.5% | 17.5% | 12.2% | |
| R3 | #2 | 76.7% | 57.5% | 31.8% | 25.7% | 10.0% | |
| R2 | #5 | 65.1% | 30.3% | 18.7% | 7.9% | 5.0% | |
| R2 | #3 | 65.7% | 42.6% | 19.6% | 8.3% | 4.4% | |
| R4 | #6 | 79.0% | 63.6% | 44.0% | 12.9% | 3.2% | |
| R3 | #4 | 83.8% | 27.6% | 12.0% | 7.8% | 1.9% | |
| R3 | #3 | 69.9% | 24.6% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 1.5% | |
| R1 | #2 | 63.7% | 35.5% | 8.7% | 2.8% | 1.3% | |
| R4 | #5 | 77.0% | 66.3% | 33.5% | 8.0% | 1.1% | |
| R1 | #6 | 58.5% | 29.9% | 7.3% | 2.3% | 1.0% | |
| R2 | #8 | 27.7% | 11.5% | 5.5% | 1.7% | 1.0% | |
| R2 | #2 | 50.8% | 20.2% | 5.7% | 1.5% | 0.7% | |
| R2 | #4 | 34.9% | 11.5% | 5.6% | 1.5% | 0.7% | |
| R2 | #6 | 34.3% | 17.8% | 5.4% | 1.6% | 0.7% | |
| R2 | #7 | 49.2% | 19.4% | 6.0% | 1.6% | 0.6% | |
| R1 | #8 | 13.5% | 9.1% | 4.4% | 1.2% | 0.3% | |
| R1 | #3 | 41.5% | 18.5% | 4.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% | |
| R1 | #7 | 36.3% | 16.1% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| R3 | #7 | 23.3% | 11.9% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.2% | |
| R1 | #4 | 44.5% | 4.3% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| R1 | #5 | 55.5% | 5.8% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| R4 | #3 | 21.0% | 11.4% | 4.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| R3 | #5 | 16.2% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| R3 | #6 | 30.1% | 6.0% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | |
| R3 | #8 | 7.9% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| R4 | #1 | 62.7% | 13.5% | 2.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| R4 | #2 | 22.4% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| R4 | #4 | 23.0% | 14.5% | 3.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| R4 | #7 | 77.6% | 22.6% | 9.9% | 1.1% | 0.0% | |
| R4 | #8 | 37.3% | 5.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Most Likely Championship Matchups
17.6%
chance
12.8%
chance
6.4%
chance
6.2%
chance
4.5%
chance
4.0%
chance
3.9%
chance
2.9%
chance
2.9%
chance
2.8%
chance
| # | Team | Region | Seed | Rating | R2% | QF% | SF% | Final% | Champ% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | R1 | #1 | Grand Rapids Kenowa Hills — 2026 W9 (#12) | 86.5% | 80.8% | 69.8% | 49.9% | 39.1% | |
| 2 | R3 | #1 | Goodrich — 2026 W9 (#34) | 92.1% | 68.7% | 42.7% | 35.3% | 14.4% | |
| 3 | R2 | #1 | Edwardsburg — 2026 W9 (#20) | 72.3% | 46.6% | 33.5% | 17.5% | 12.2% | |
| 4 | R3 | #2 | Dearborn Divine Child — 2026 W9 (#39) | 76.7% | 57.5% | 31.8% | 25.7% | 10.0% | |
| 5 | R2 | #5 | Paw Paw — 2026 W9 (#35) | 65.1% | 30.3% | 18.7% | 7.9% | 5.0% | |
| 6 | R2 | #3 | Grand Rapids South Christian — 2026 W9 (#40) | 65.7% | 42.6% | 19.6% | 8.3% | 4.4% | |
| 7 | R4 | #6 | Detroit Country Day — 2026 W9 (#100) | 79.0% | 63.6% | 44.0% | 12.9% | 3.2% | |
| 8 | R3 | #4 | St Johns — 2026 W9 (#83) | 83.8% | 27.6% | 12.0% | 7.8% | 1.9% | |
| 9 | R3 | #3 | Adrian — 2026 W9 (#94) | 69.9% | 24.6% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 1.5% | |
| 10 | R1 | #2 | Ada Forest Hills Eastern — 2026 W9 (#71) | 63.7% | 35.5% | 8.7% | 2.8% | 1.3% | |
| 11 | R4 | #5 | Macomb Lutheran North — 2026 W9 (#134) | 77.0% | 66.3% | 33.5% | 8.0% | 1.1% | |
| 12 | R1 | #6 | Spring Lake — 2026 W9 (#82) | 58.5% | 29.9% | 7.3% | 2.3% | 1.0% | |
| 13 | R2 | #8 | Vicksburg — 2026 W9 (#60) | 27.7% | 11.5% | 5.5% | 1.7% | 1.0% | |
| 14 | R2 | #2 | Stevensville Lakeshore — 2026 W9 (#75) | 50.8% | 20.2% | 5.7% | 1.5% | 0.7% | |
| 15 | R2 | #4 | Portland — 2026 W9 (#62) | 34.9% | 11.5% | 5.6% | 1.5% | 0.7% | |
| 16 | R2 | #6 | Marshall — 2026 W9 (#70) | 34.3% | 17.8% | 5.4% | 1.6% | 0.7% | |
| 17 | R2 | #7 | Hastings — 2026 W9 (#72) | 49.2% | 19.4% | 6.0% | 1.6% | 0.6% | |
| 18 | R1 | #8 | Grand Rapids Christian — 2026 W9 (#96) | 13.5% | 9.1% | 4.4% | 1.2% | 0.3% | |
| 19 | R1 | #3 | Hudsonville Unity Christian — 2026 W9 (#106) | 41.5% | 18.5% | 4.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% | |
| 20 | R1 | #7 | Big Rapids — 2026 W9 (#117) | 36.3% | 16.1% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 21 | R3 | #7 | Lansing Sexton — 2026 W9 (#116) | 23.3% | 11.9% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.2% | |
| 22 | R1 | #4 | Ludington — 2026 W9 (#174) | 44.5% | 4.3% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 23 | R1 | #5 | Fruitport — 2026 W9 (#151) | 55.5% | 5.8% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 24 | R4 | #3 | Madison Heights Lamphere — 2026 W9 (#236) | 21.0% | 11.4% | 4.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 25 | R3 | #5 | Ortonville Brandon — 2026 W9 (#245) | 16.2% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 26 | R3 | #6 | Tecumseh — 2026 W9 (#170) | 30.1% | 6.0% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | |
| 27 | R3 | #8 | Williamston — 2026 W9 (#234) | 7.9% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 28 | R4 | #1 | Marysville — 2026 W9 (#303) | 62.7% | 13.5% | 2.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 29 | R4 | #2 | Detroit Cody — 2026 W9 (#341) | 22.4% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 30 | R4 | #4 | Detroit East English — 2026 W9 (#269) | 23.0% | 14.5% | 3.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 31 | R4 | #7 | St Clair — 2026 W9 (#219) | 77.6% | 22.6% | 9.9% | 1.1% | 0.0% | |
| 32 | R4 | #8 | Detroit Southeastern — 2026 W9 (#351) | 37.3% | 5.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Top 10 most likely championship matchups based on 32 teams.
17.6%
Kenowa Hills
39.1% champ
vs
Goodrich
14.4% champ
12.8%
Kenowa Hills
39.1% champ
vs
Dearborn Divine Child
10.0% champ
6.4%
Kenowa Hills
39.1% champ
vs
Country Day
3.2% champ
6.2%
Goodrich
14.4% champ
vs
Edwardsburg
12.2% champ
4.5%
Edwardsburg
12.2% champ
vs
Dearborn Divine Child
10.0% champ
4.0%
Kenowa Hills
39.1% champ
vs
Lutheran North
1.1% champ
3.9%
Kenowa Hills
39.1% champ
vs
St Johns
1.9% champ
2.9%
Kenowa Hills
39.1% champ
vs
Adrian
1.5% champ
2.9%
Goodrich
14.4% champ
vs
South Christian
4.4% champ
2.8%
Goodrich
14.4% champ
vs
Paw Paw
5.0% champ
Playoff Hub
Division 5 · 2026 bracket odds and round-by-round predictions.
Playoff Bracket
1
Kingsford
73%
8
HC Tri County
27%
4
Shepherd
38%
5
Negaunee
63%
2
Orchard View
55%
7
Chippewa Hills
45%
3
Ogemaw Hts
79%
6
Reed City
21%
1
Grand Rapids Catholic Central
80%
8
Comstock Park
20%
4
LO Lakewood
59%
5
Berrien Springs
41%
2
Grand Rapids West Catholic
85%
7
Godwin Heights
15%
3
Hopkins
61%
6
Kzoo United
39%
1
Kingsford
58%
5
Negaunee
42%
2
Orchard View
30%
3
Ogemaw Hts
70%
1
Grand Rapids Catholic Central
53%
4
LO Lakewood
47%
2
Grand Rapids West Catholic
58%
3
Hopkins
42%
1
Kingsford
33%
3
Ogemaw Hts
67%
1
Grand Rapids Catholic Central
41%
2
Grand Rapids West Catholic
59%
3
Ogemaw Hts
41%
2
Grand Rapids West Catholic
59%
🏆 Championship
2
Grand Rapids West Catholic
54%
1
Frankenmuth
46%
1
Frankenmuth
67%
1
Monroe Jefferson
33%
1
Frankenmuth
71%
2
Swan Valley
29%
1
Monroe Jefferson
62%
7
Ann Arbor FGR
38%
1
Frankenmuth
80%
5
Armada
20%
2
Swan Valley
67%
3
Imlay City
33%
1
Monroe Jefferson
56%
5
Ida
44%
7
Ann Arbor FGR
65%
6
Detroit Denby
35%
1
Frankenmuth
97%
8
Whitmore Lake
3%
4
Powers Catholic
39%
5
Armada
61%
2
Swan Valley
84%
7
Notre Dame
16%
3
Imlay City
63%
6
Corunna
37%
1
Monroe Jefferson
69%
8
Flat Rock
31%
4
Voyageur Prep
21%
5
Ida
79%
2
Summit Acad
48%
7
Ann Arbor FGR
52%
3
Redford Union
34%
6
Detroit Denby
67%
Region 1 · Game 1
1
Kingsford
73%
8
HC Tri County
27%
Region 1 · Game 2
4
Shepherd
38%
5
Negaunee
63%
Region 1 · Game 3
2
Orchard View
55%
7
Chippewa Hills
45%
Region 1 · Game 4
3
Ogemaw Hts
79%
6
Reed City
21%
Region 2 · Game 1
1
Grand Rapids Catholic Central
80%
8
Comstock Park
20%
Region 2 · Game 2
4
LO Lakewood
59%
5
Berrien Springs
41%
Region 2 · Game 3
2
Grand Rapids West Catholic
85%
7
Godwin Heights
15%
Region 2 · Game 4
3
Hopkins
61%
6
Kzoo United
39%
Region 3 · Game 1
1
Frankenmuth
97%
8
Whitmore Lake
3%
Region 3 · Game 2
4
Powers Catholic
39%
5
Armada
61%
Region 3 · Game 3
2
Swan Valley
84%
7
Notre Dame
16%
Region 3 · Game 4
3
Imlay City
63%
6
Corunna
37%
Region 4 · Game 1
1
Monroe Jefferson
69%
8
Flat Rock
31%
Region 4 · Game 2
4
Voyageur Prep
21%
5
Ida
79%
Region 4 · Game 3
2
Summit Acad
48%
7
Ann Arbor FGR
52%
Region 4 · Game 4
3
Redford Union
34%
6
Detroit Denby
67%
Region 1 · Game 1
1
Kingsford
58%
5
Negaunee
42%
Region 1 · Game 2
2
Orchard View
30%
3
Ogemaw Hts
70%
Region 2 · Game 1
1
Grand Rapids Catholic Central
53%
4
LO Lakewood
47%
Region 2 · Game 2
2
Grand Rapids West Catholic
58%
3
Hopkins
42%
Region 3 · Game 1
1
Frankenmuth
80%
5
Armada
20%
Region 3 · Game 2
2
Swan Valley
67%
3
Imlay City
33%
Region 4 · Game 1
1
Monroe Jefferson
56%
5
Ida
44%
Region 4 · Game 2
7
Ann Arbor FGR
65%
6
Detroit Denby
35%
Region 1
1
Kingsford
33%
3
Ogemaw Hts
67%
Region 2
1
Grand Rapids Catholic Central
41%
2
Grand Rapids West Catholic
59%
Region 3
1
Frankenmuth
71%
2
Swan Valley
29%
Region 4
1
Monroe Jefferson
62%
7
Ann Arbor FGR
38%
Semifinal 1
3
Ogemaw Hts
41%
2
Grand Rapids West Catholic
59%
Semifinal 2
1
Frankenmuth
67%
1
Monroe Jefferson
33%
Championship
2
Grand Rapids West Catholic
54%
1
Frankenmuth
46%
Regions
Region 1
1
Kingsford
8
HC Tri County
4
Shepherd
5
Negaunee
2
Orchard View
7
Chippewa Hills
3
Ogemaw Hts
6
Reed City
Region 2
1
Grand Rapids Catholic Central
8
Comstock Park
4
LO Lakewood
5
Berrien Springs
2
Grand Rapids West Catholic
7
Godwin Heights
3
Hopkins
6
Kzoo United
Region 3
1
Frankenmuth
8
Whitmore Lake
4
Powers Catholic
5
Armada
2
Swan Valley
7
Notre Dame
3
Imlay City
6
Corunna
Region 4
1
Monroe Jefferson
8
Flat Rock
4
Voyageur Prep
5
Ida
2
Summit Acad
7
Ann Arbor FGR
3
Redford Union
6
Detroit Denby
Toughest Regions
Easiest
Toughest
R2
20.21
R1
11.82
R4
7.23
R3
4.90
Championship Odds
Round-by-Round Odds
| Team | Rgn | Seed | R2% | QF% | SF% | Final% | Champ% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R3 | #1 | 97.0% | 79.7% | 60.8% | 46.1% | 25.5% | |
| R2 | #2 | 85.5% | 53.5% | 34.3% | 24.4% | 16.4% | |
| R1 | #3 | 78.1% | 55.5% | 39.8% | 19.5% | 11.5% | |
| R2 | #1 | 80.3% | 45.6% | 21.4% | 13.1% | 7.8% | |
| R2 | #3 | 61.6% | 28.0% | 15.6% | 10.2% | 6.2% | |
| R4 | #1 | 68.0% | 42.0% | 28.7% | 12.1% | 5.1% | |
| R2 | #4 | 59.7% | 31.2% | 13.5% | 8.3% | 4.7% | |
| R3 | #2 | 83.7% | 58.8% | 22.2% | 12.6% | 4.3% | |
| R1 | #1 | 73.1% | 45.2% | 21.1% | 7.1% | 3.3% | |
| R4 | #5 | 79.0% | 39.8% | 24.8% | 9.4% | 3.0% | |
| R2 | #6 | 38.4% | 14.5% | 6.4% | 3.5% | 1.8% | |
| R4 | #7 | 51.9% | 35.4% | 15.0% | 5.1% | 1.5% | |
| R1 | #2 | 54.7% | 20.3% | 10.8% | 3.4% | 1.3% | |
| R2 | #5 | 40.3% | 18.1% | 6.5% | 3.2% | 1.3% | |
| R4 | #2 | 48.1% | 32.8% | 14.2% | 4.5% | 1.2% | |
| R1 | #5 | 63.4% | 31.0% | 11.2% | 2.9% | 1.1% | |
| R3 | #5 | 61.1% | 13.7% | 6.6% | 3.2% | 1.0% | |
| R1 | #7 | 45.3% | 14.4% | 7.0% | 1.7% | 0.6% | |
| R3 | #3 | 62.6% | 25.2% | 5.7% | 2.2% | 0.6% | |
| R1 | #6 | 21.9% | 9.9% | 3.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | |
| R2 | #7 | 14.5% | 4.0% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | |
| R4 | #6 | 67.8% | 25.2% | 7.9% | 1.7% | 0.3% | |
| R4 | #8 | 32.0% | 14.0% | 6.8% | 1.5% | 0.3% | |
| R3 | #4 | 38.9% | 6.2% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| R1 | #4 | 36.6% | 13.8% | 3.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| R1 | #8 | 26.9% | 10.0% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| R2 | #8 | 19.7% | 5.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| R3 | #6 | 37.4% | 11.0% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | |
| R3 | #7 | 16.3% | 4.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| R3 | #8 | 3.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| R4 | #3 | 32.2% | 6.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| R4 | #4 | 21.0% | 4.2% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
Most Likely Championship Matchups
11.2%
chance
9.0%
chance
6.0%
chance
4.7%
chance
3.8%
chance
3.3%
chance
3.1%
chance
3.0%
chance
2.5%
chance
2.4%
chance
| # | Team | Region | Seed | Rating | R2% | QF% | SF% | Final% | Champ% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | R3 | #1 | Frankenmuth — 2026 W9 (#61) | 97.0% | 79.7% | 60.8% | 46.1% | 25.5% | |
| 2 | R2 | #2 | Grand Rapids West Catholic — 2026 W9 (#54) | 85.5% | 53.5% | 34.3% | 24.4% | 16.4% | |
| 3 | R1 | #3 | Ogemaw Heights — 2026 W9 (#67) | 78.1% | 55.5% | 39.8% | 19.5% | 11.5% | |
| 4 | R2 | #1 | Grand Rapids Catholic Central — 2026 W9 (#68) | 80.3% | 45.6% | 21.4% | 13.1% | 7.8% | |
| 5 | R2 | #3 | Hopkins — 2026 W9 (#65) | 61.6% | 28.0% | 15.6% | 10.2% | 6.2% | |
| 6 | R4 | #1 | Monroe Jefferson — 2026 W9 (#109) | 68.0% | 42.0% | 28.7% | 12.1% | 5.1% | |
| 7 | R2 | #4 | Lake Odessa Lakewood — 2026 W9 (#81) | 59.7% | 31.2% | 13.5% | 8.3% | 4.7% | |
| 8 | R3 | #2 | Saginaw Swan Valley — 2026 W9 (#130) | 83.7% | 58.8% | 22.2% | 12.6% | 4.3% | |
| 9 | R1 | #1 | Kingsford — 2026 W9 (#129) | 73.1% | 45.2% | 21.1% | 7.1% | 3.3% | |
| 10 | R4 | #5 | Ida — 2026 W9 (#137) | 79.0% | 39.8% | 24.8% | 9.4% | 3.0% | |
| 11 | R2 | #6 | Kalamazoo Hackett Catholic Prep — 2026 W9 (#103) | 38.4% | 14.5% | 6.4% | 3.5% | 1.8% | |
| 12 | R4 | #7 | Ann Arbor Father Gabriel Richard — 2026 W9 (#162) | 51.9% | 35.4% | 15.0% | 5.1% | 1.5% | |
| 13 | R1 | #2 | Muskegon Orchard View — 2026 W9 (#145) | 54.7% | 20.3% | 10.8% | 3.4% | 1.3% | |
| 14 | R2 | #5 | Berrien Springs — 2026 W9 (#107) | 40.3% | 18.1% | 6.5% | 3.2% | 1.3% | |
| 15 | R4 | #2 | Romulus Summit Academy North — 2026 W9 (#172) | 48.1% | 32.8% | 14.2% | 4.5% | 1.2% | |
| 16 | R1 | #5 | Negaunee — 2026 W9 (#163) | 63.4% | 31.0% | 11.2% | 2.9% | 1.1% | |
| 17 | R3 | #5 | Armada — 2026 W9 (#181) | 61.1% | 13.7% | 6.6% | 3.2% | 1.0% | |
| 18 | R1 | #7 | Remus Chippewa Hills — 2026 W9 (#165) | 45.3% | 14.4% | 7.0% | 1.7% | 0.6% | |
| 19 | R3 | #3 | Imlay City — 2026 W9 (#206) | 62.6% | 25.2% | 5.7% | 2.2% | 0.6% | |
| 20 | R1 | #6 | Reed City — 2026 W9 (#199) | 21.9% | 9.9% | 3.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | |
| 21 | R2 | #7 | Wyoming Godwin Heights — 2026 W9 (#204) | 14.5% | 4.0% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | |
| 22 | R4 | #6 | Detroit Denby — 2026 W9 (#233) | 67.8% | 25.2% | 7.9% | 1.7% | 0.3% | |
| 23 | R4 | #8 | Flat Rock — 2026 W9 (#197) | 32.0% | 14.0% | 6.8% | 1.5% | 0.3% | |
| 24 | R3 | #4 | Flint Powers Catholic — 2026 W9 (#228) | 38.9% | 6.2% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 25 | R1 | #4 | Shepherd — 2026 W9 (#220) | 36.6% | 13.8% | 3.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 26 | R1 | #8 | Howard City Tri County — 2026 W9 (#241) | 26.9% | 10.0% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 27 | R2 | #8 | Comstock Park — 2026 W9 (#203) | 19.7% | 5.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 28 | R3 | #6 | Corunna — 2026 W9 (#261) | 37.4% | 11.0% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | |
| 29 | R3 | #7 | Pontiac Notre Dame Prep — 2026 W9 (#301) | 16.3% | 4.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 30 | R3 | #8 | Whitmore Lake — 2026 W9 (#366) | 3.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 31 | R4 | #3 | Redford Union — 2026 W9 (#300) | 32.2% | 6.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 32 | R4 | #4 | Detroit Voyageur College Prep — 2026 W9 (#279) | 21.0% | 4.2% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
Top 10 most likely championship matchups based on 32 teams.
11.2%
Frankenmuth
25.5% champ
vs
Grand Rapids West Catholic
16.4% champ
9.0%
Frankenmuth
25.5% champ
vs
Ogemaw Hts
11.5% champ
6.0%
Frankenmuth
25.5% champ
vs
Grand Rapids Catholic Central
7.8% champ
4.7%
Frankenmuth
25.5% champ
vs
Hopkins
6.2% champ
3.8%
Frankenmuth
25.5% champ
vs
LO Lakewood
4.7% champ
3.3%
Frankenmuth
25.5% champ
vs
Kingsford
3.3% champ
3.1%
Grand Rapids West Catholic
16.4% champ
vs
Swan Valley
4.3% champ
3.0%
Grand Rapids West Catholic
16.4% champ
vs
Monroe Jefferson
5.1% champ
2.5%
Ogemaw Hts
11.5% champ
vs
Swan Valley
4.3% champ
2.4%
Ogemaw Hts
11.5% champ
vs
Monroe Jefferson
5.1% champ
Playoff Hub
Division 6 · 2026 bracket odds and round-by-round predictions.
Playoff Bracket
1
Kingsley
85%
8
Mason CC
16%
4
St Francis
65%
5
Calumet
35%
2
Sanford Meridian
90%
7
Elk Rapids
10%
3
Gladwin
69%
6
Harbor Springs
31%
1
Almont
96%
8
Flint Elite
4%
4
Algonac
24%
5
Bullock Creek
76%
2
Marine City
86%
7
New Haven
15%
3
Montrose
68%
6
Durand
32%
1
Kingsley
69%
4
St Francis
31%
2
Sanford Meridian
76%
3
Gladwin
24%
1
Almont
72%
5
Bullock Creek
28%
2
Marine City
34%
3
Montrose
66%
1
Kingsley
48%
2
Sanford Meridian
52%
1
Almont
60%
3
Montrose
40%
2
Sanford Meridian
63%
1
Almont
38%
🏆 Championship
2
Sanford Meridian
33%
1
Jackson Lumen Christi
67%
1
Jackson Lumen Christi
51%
4
Clinton
49%
1
Jackson Lumen Christi
69%
3
Olivet
31%
4
Clinton
78%
2
Ecorse
22%
1
Jackson Lumen Christi
78%
4
Buchanan
22%
7
Adrian Madison
34%
3
Olivet
66%
1
Detroit Edison
21%
4
Clinton
79%
2
Ecorse
73%
6
Michigan Collegiate
27%
1
Jackson Lumen Christi
93%
8
Columbia Central
7%
4
Buchanan
54%
5
Napoleon
47%
2
Belding
45%
7
Adrian Madison
55%
3
Olivet
76%
6
Kent City
24%
1
Detroit Edison
94%
8
Robichaud
6%
4
Clinton
98%
5
Clawson
2%
2
Ecorse
97%
7
Detroit CMA
3%
3
Detroit Central
39%
6
Michigan Collegiate
61%
Region 1 · Game 1
1
Kingsley
85%
8
Mason CC
16%
Region 1 · Game 2
4
St Francis
65%
5
Calumet
35%
Region 1 · Game 3
2
Sanford Meridian
90%
7
Elk Rapids
10%
Region 1 · Game 4
3
Gladwin
69%
6
Harbor Springs
31%
Region 2 · Game 1
1
Almont
96%
8
Flint Elite
4%
Region 2 · Game 2
4
Algonac
24%
5
Bullock Creek
76%
Region 2 · Game 3
2
Marine City
86%
7
New Haven
15%
Region 2 · Game 4
3
Montrose
68%
6
Durand
32%
Region 3 · Game 1
1
Jackson Lumen Christi
93%
8
Columbia Central
7%
Region 3 · Game 2
4
Buchanan
54%
5
Napoleon
47%
Region 3 · Game 3
2
Belding
45%
7
Adrian Madison
55%
Region 3 · Game 4
3
Olivet
76%
6
Kent City
24%
Region 4 · Game 1
1
Detroit Edison
94%
8
Robichaud
6%
Region 4 · Game 2
4
Clinton
98%
5
Clawson
2%
Region 4 · Game 3
2
Ecorse
97%
7
Detroit CMA
3%
Region 4 · Game 4
3
Detroit Central
39%
6
Michigan Collegiate
61%
Region 1 · Game 1
1
Kingsley
69%
4
St Francis
31%
Region 1 · Game 2
2
Sanford Meridian
76%
3
Gladwin
24%
Region 2 · Game 1
1
Almont
72%
5
Bullock Creek
28%
Region 2 · Game 2
2
Marine City
34%
3
Montrose
66%
Region 3 · Game 1
1
Jackson Lumen Christi
78%
4
Buchanan
22%
Region 3 · Game 2
7
Adrian Madison
34%
3
Olivet
66%
Region 4 · Game 1
1
Detroit Edison
21%
4
Clinton
79%
Region 4 · Game 2
2
Ecorse
73%
6
Michigan Collegiate
27%
Region 1
1
Kingsley
48%
2
Sanford Meridian
52%
Region 2
1
Almont
60%
3
Montrose
40%
Region 3
1
Jackson Lumen Christi
69%
3
Olivet
31%
Region 4
4
Clinton
78%
2
Ecorse
22%
Semifinal 1
2
Sanford Meridian
63%
1
Almont
38%
Semifinal 2
1
Jackson Lumen Christi
51%
4
Clinton
49%
Championship
2
Sanford Meridian
33%
1
Jackson Lumen Christi
67%
Regions
Region 1
1
Kingsley
8
Mason CC
4
St Francis
5
Calumet
2
Sanford Meridian
7
Elk Rapids
3
Gladwin
6
Harbor Springs
Region 2
1
Almont
8
Flint Elite
4
Algonac
5
Bullock Creek
2
Marine City
7
New Haven
3
Montrose
6
Durand
Region 3
1
Jackson Lumen Christi
8
Columbia Central
4
Buchanan
5
Napoleon
2
Belding
7
Adrian Madison
3
Olivet
6
Kent City
Region 4
1
Detroit Edison
8
Robichaud
4
Clinton
5
Clawson
2
Ecorse
7
Detroit CMA
3
Detroit Central
6
Michigan Collegiate
Toughest Regions
Easiest
Toughest
R3
15.45
R1
8.24
R4
-1.47
R2
-2.99
Championship Odds
Round-by-Round Odds
| Team | Rgn | Seed | R2% | QF% | SF% | Final% | Champ% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R4 | #4 | 98.4% | 78.4% | 63.3% | 38.3% | 28.8% | |
| R3 | #1 | 92.7% | 73.2% | 55.4% | 33.6% | 25.2% | |
| R1 | #2 | 88.9% | 71.4% | 44.8% | 30.9% | 12.3% | |
| R1 | #1 | 84.0% | 60.5% | 33.2% | 22.6% | 8.6% | |
| R2 | #1 | 96.5% | 73.5% | 51.0% | 22.9% | 7.0% | |
| R3 | #3 | 76.1% | 51.4% | 19.9% | 8.8% | 5.1% | |
| R4 | #2 | 96.8% | 72.6% | 21.5% | 7.1% | 3.3% | |
| R2 | #3 | 68.5% | 47.8% | 21.8% | 7.9% | 1.7% | |
| R4 | #1 | 94.1% | 21.4% | 11.5% | 3.8% | 1.6% | |
| R1 | #4 | 63.8% | 24.7% | 9.5% | 4.9% | 1.2% | |
| R3 | #4 | 53.0% | 14.3% | 7.2% | 2.5% | 1.0% | |
| R3 | #5 | 47.0% | 11.0% | 5.2% | 1.8% | 0.8% | |
| R3 | #7 | 55.4% | 22.4% | 5.8% | 1.8% | 0.7% | |
| R1 | #3 | 68.7% | 20.1% | 7.2% | 2.9% | 0.5% | |
| R3 | #2 | 44.6% | 16.1% | 4.4% | 1.3% | 0.5% | |
| R2 | #2 | 85.1% | 33.3% | 10.7% | 2.6% | 0.4% | |
| R2 | #5 | 75.5% | 22.8% | 10.1% | 2.2% | 0.4% | |
| R2 | #6 | 31.5% | 17.4% | 5.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% | |
| R1 | #5 | 36.2% | 9.5% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.2% | |
| R4 | #6 | 62.5% | 19.1% | 2.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | |
| R1 | #8 | 16.0% | 5.3% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| R3 | #6 | 23.9% | 10.1% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| R1 | #6 | 31.3% | 5.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | |
| R1 | #7 | 11.1% | 3.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| R2 | #4 | 24.5% | 3.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| R2 | #7 | 14.9% | 1.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| R2 | #8 | 3.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| R3 | #8 | 7.3% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| R4 | #3 | 37.5% | 8.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| R4 | #5 | 1.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| R4 | #7 | 3.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| R4 | #8 | 5.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Most Likely Championship Matchups
11.8%
chance
10.4%
chance
8.8%
chance
8.7%
chance
7.7%
chance
7.6%
chance
3.0%
chance
2.7%
chance
2.7%
chance
2.2%
chance
| # | Team | Region | Seed | Rating | R2% | QF% | SF% | Final% | Champ% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | R4 | #4 | Clinton — 2026 W9 (#44) | 98.4% | 78.4% | 63.3% | 38.3% | 28.8% | |
| 2 | R3 | #1 | Jackson Lumen Christi — 2026 W9 (#42) | 92.7% | 73.2% | 55.4% | 33.6% | 25.2% | |
| 3 | R1 | #2 | Sanford Meridian — 2026 W9 (#78) | 88.9% | 71.4% | 44.8% | 30.9% | 12.3% | |
| 4 | R1 | #1 | Kingsley — 2026 W9 (#88) | 84.0% | 60.5% | 33.2% | 22.6% | 8.6% | |
| 5 | R2 | #1 | Almont — 2026 W9 (#119) | 96.5% | 73.5% | 51.0% | 22.9% | 7.0% | |
| 6 | R3 | #3 | Olivet — 2026 W9 (#91) | 76.1% | 51.4% | 19.9% | 8.8% | 5.1% | |
| 7 | R4 | #2 | Ecorse — 2026 W9 (#126) | 96.8% | 72.6% | 21.5% | 7.1% | 3.3% | |
| 8 | R2 | #3 | Montrose — 2026 W9 (#160) | 68.5% | 47.8% | 21.8% | 7.9% | 1.7% | |
| 9 | R4 | #1 | Detroit Edison — 2026 W9 (#136) | 94.1% | 21.4% | 11.5% | 3.8% | 1.6% | |
| 10 | R1 | #4 | Traverse City St Francis — 2026 W9 (#155) | 63.8% | 24.7% | 9.5% | 4.9% | 1.2% | |
| 11 | R3 | #4 | Buchanan — 2026 W9 (#121) | 53.0% | 14.3% | 7.2% | 2.5% | 1.0% | |
| 12 | R3 | #5 | Napoleon — 2026 W9 (#138) | 47.0% | 11.0% | 5.2% | 1.8% | 0.8% | |
| 13 | R3 | #7 | Adrian Madison — 2026 W9 (#144) | 55.4% | 22.4% | 5.8% | 1.8% | 0.7% | |
| 14 | R1 | #3 | Gladwin — 2026 W9 (#189) | 68.7% | 20.1% | 7.2% | 2.9% | 0.5% | |
| 15 | R3 | #2 | Belding — 2026 W9 (#161) | 44.6% | 16.1% | 4.4% | 1.3% | 0.5% | |
| 16 | R2 | #2 | Marine City — 2026 W9 (#239) | 85.1% | 33.3% | 10.7% | 2.6% | 0.4% | |
| 17 | R2 | #5 | Midland Bullock Creek — 2026 W9 (#222) | 75.5% | 22.8% | 10.1% | 2.2% | 0.4% | |
| 18 | R2 | #6 | Durand — 2026 W9 (#244) | 31.5% | 17.4% | 5.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% | |
| 19 | R1 | #5 | Calumet — 2026 W9 (#225) | 36.2% | 9.5% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.2% | |
| 20 | R4 | #6 | Warren Michigan Collegiate — 2026 W9 (#231) | 62.5% | 19.1% | 2.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | |
| 21 | R1 | #8 | Mason County Central — 2026 W9 (#254) | 16.0% | 5.3% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 22 | R3 | #6 | Kent City — 2026 W9 (#201) | 23.9% | 10.1% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 23 | R1 | #6 | Harbor Springs — 2026 W9 (#274) | 31.3% | 5.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | |
| 24 | R1 | #7 | Elk Rapids — 2026 W9 (#296) | 11.1% | 3.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 25 | R2 | #4 | Algonac — 2026 W9 (#343) | 24.5% | 3.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 26 | R2 | #7 | New Haven — 2026 W9 (#379) | 14.9% | 1.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 27 | R2 | #8 | Flint New Standard Academy — 2026 W9 (#405) | 3.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 28 | R3 | #8 | Brooklyn Columbia Central — 2026 W9 (#262) | 7.3% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 29 | R4 | #3 | Detroit Central — 2026 W9 (#277) | 37.5% | 8.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 30 | R4 | #5 | Clawson — 2026 W9 (#397) | 1.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 31 | R4 | #7 | Detroit Communication Media Arts — 2026 W9 (#416) | 3.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 32 | R4 | #8 | Dearborn Heights Robichaud — 2026 W9 (#382) | 5.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Top 10 most likely championship matchups based on 32 teams.
11.8%
Clinton
28.8% champ
vs
Sanford Meridian
12.3% champ
10.4%
Jackson Lumen Christi
25.2% champ
vs
Sanford Meridian
12.3% champ
8.8%
Clinton
28.8% champ
vs
Almont
7.0% champ
8.7%
Clinton
28.8% champ
vs
Kingsley
8.6% champ
7.7%
Jackson Lumen Christi
25.2% champ
vs
Almont
7.0% champ
7.6%
Jackson Lumen Christi
25.2% champ
vs
Kingsley
8.6% champ
3.0%
Clinton
28.8% champ
vs
Montrose
1.7% champ
2.7%
Jackson Lumen Christi
25.2% champ
vs
Montrose
1.7% champ
2.7%
Sanford Meridian
12.3% champ
vs
Olivet
5.1% champ
2.2%
Sanford Meridian
12.3% champ
vs
Ecorse
3.3% champ
Playoff Hub
Division 7 · 2026 bracket odds and round-by-round predictions.
Playoff Bracket
1
Menominee
94%
8
Lakeview
6%
4
Manistee
58%
5
Manton
42%
2
Charlevoix
83%
7
Oscoda
17%
3
McBain
80%
6
Harrison
21%
1
Pewamo-Westphalia
79%
8
Cass City
21%
4
Burton Bendle
11%
5
EPBPL
89%
2
Millington
97%
7
Clintondale
4%
3
Ithaca
94%
6
Valley Lutheran
6%
1
Menominee
76%
4
Manistee
24%
2
Charlevoix
36%
3
McBain
64%
1
Pewamo-Westphalia
47%
5
EPBPL
54%
2
Millington
28%
3
Ithaca
73%
1
Menominee
56%
3
McBain
44%
5
EPBPL
29%
3
Ithaca
71%
1
Menominee
24%
3
Ithaca
76%
🏆 Championship
3
Ithaca
64%
1
Constantine
36%
1
Constantine
59%
1
Monroe St Mary Catholic Central
41%
1
Constantine
77%
2
Schoolcraft
23%
1
Monroe St Mary Catholic Central
77%
2
Hanover-Horton
23%
1
Constantine
73%
5
Cassopolis
27%
2
Schoolcraft
56%
3
North Muskegon
45%
1
Monroe St Mary Catholic Central
59%
4
Whiteford
41%
2
Hanover-Horton
53%
6
Union City
47%
1
Constantine
94%
8
Saranac
6%
4
Ravenna
41%
5
Cassopolis
60%
2
Schoolcraft
80%
7
Galesburg-Aug
20%
3
North Muskegon
57%
6
Lawton
43%
1
Monroe St Mary Catholic Central
91%
8
Leslie
9%
4
Whiteford
67%
5
Bronson
33%
2
Hanover-Horton
76%
7
Jonesville
24%
3
Det Community
11%
6
Union City
89%
Region 1 · Game 1
1
Menominee
94%
8
Lakeview
6%
Region 1 · Game 2
4
Manistee
58%
5
Manton
42%
Region 1 · Game 3
2
Charlevoix
83%
7
Oscoda
17%
Region 1 · Game 4
3
McBain
80%
6
Harrison
21%
Region 2 · Game 1
1
Pewamo-Westphalia
79%
8
Cass City
21%
Region 2 · Game 2
4
Burton Bendle
11%
5
EPBPL
89%
Region 2 · Game 3
2
Millington
97%
7
Clintondale
4%
Region 2 · Game 4
3
Ithaca
94%
6
Valley Lutheran
6%
Region 3 · Game 1
1
Constantine
94%
8
Saranac
6%
Region 3 · Game 2
4
Ravenna
41%
5
Cassopolis
60%
Region 3 · Game 3
2
Schoolcraft
80%
7
Galesburg-Aug
20%
Region 3 · Game 4
3
North Muskegon
57%
6
Lawton
43%
Region 4 · Game 1
1
Monroe St Mary Catholic Central
91%
8
Leslie
9%
Region 4 · Game 2
4
Whiteford
67%
5
Bronson
33%
Region 4 · Game 3
2
Hanover-Horton
76%
7
Jonesville
24%
Region 4 · Game 4
3
Det Community
11%
6
Union City
89%
Region 1 · Game 1
1
Menominee
76%
4
Manistee
24%
Region 1 · Game 2
2
Charlevoix
36%
3
McBain
64%
Region 2 · Game 1
1
Pewamo-Westphalia
47%
5
EPBPL
54%
Region 2 · Game 2
2
Millington
28%
3
Ithaca
73%
Region 3 · Game 1
1
Constantine
73%
5
Cassopolis
27%
Region 3 · Game 2
2
Schoolcraft
56%
3
North Muskegon
45%
Region 4 · Game 1
1
Monroe St Mary Catholic Central
59%
4
Whiteford
41%
Region 4 · Game 2
2
Hanover-Horton
53%
6
Union City
47%
Region 1
1
Menominee
56%
3
McBain
44%
Region 2
5
EPBPL
29%
3
Ithaca
71%
Region 3
1
Constantine
77%
2
Schoolcraft
23%
Region 4
1
Monroe St Mary Catholic Central
77%
2
Hanover-Horton
23%
Semifinal 1
1
Menominee
24%
3
Ithaca
76%
Semifinal 2
1
Constantine
59%
1
Monroe St Mary Catholic Central
41%
Championship
3
Ithaca
64%
1
Constantine
36%
Regions
Region 1
1
Menominee
8
Lakeview
4
Manistee
5
Manton
2
Charlevoix
7
Oscoda
3
McBain
6
Harrison
Region 2
1
Pewamo-Westphalia
8
Cass City
4
Burton Bendle
5
EPBPL
2
Millington
7
Clintondale
3
Ithaca
6
Valley Lutheran
Region 3
1
Constantine
8
Saranac
4
Ravenna
5
Cassopolis
2
Schoolcraft
7
Galesburg-Aug
3
North Muskegon
6
Lawton
Region 4
1
Monroe St Mary Catholic Central
8
Leslie
4
Whiteford
5
Bronson
2
Hanover-Horton
7
Jonesville
3
Det Community
6
Union City
Toughest Regions
Easiest
Toughest
R2
10.95
R3
8.99
R4
3.79
R1
3.70
Championship Odds
Round-by-Round Odds
| Team | Rgn | Seed | R2% | QF% | SF% | Final% | Champ% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R2 | #3 | 94.3% | 69.2% | 51.4% | 41.3% | 30.6% | |
| R3 | #1 | 93.5% | 70.9% | 57.4% | 38.9% | 19.8% | |
| R4 | #1 | 91.6% | 59.2% | 46.9% | 25.8% | 10.6% | |
| R1 | #1 | 93.8% | 74.0% | 48.0% | 16.4% | 8.3% | |
| R2 | #5 | 88.8% | 53.2% | 18.8% | 11.8% | 6.5% | |
| R2 | #2 | 97.6% | 29.8% | 15.9% | 9.9% | 5.4% | |
| R1 | #3 | 79.5% | 54.3% | 28.2% | 8.7% | 3.9% | |
| R2 | #1 | 79.1% | 40.5% | 13.1% | 7.7% | 3.9% | |
| R4 | #4 | 66.5% | 29.7% | 21.6% | 9.8% | 3.3% | |
| R3 | #2 | 80.1% | 45.5% | 13.7% | 6.0% | 1.6% | |
| R3 | #5 | 59.3% | 18.2% | 10.7% | 5.2% | 1.6% | |
| R1 | #2 | 82.6% | 35.8% | 12.9% | 2.5% | 0.9% | |
| R4 | #2 | 76.4% | 44.2% | 12.4% | 3.7% | 0.8% | |
| R3 | #3 | 57.1% | 29.9% | 8.0% | 2.8% | 0.7% | |
| R3 | #4 | 40.7% | 9.9% | 4.8% | 1.8% | 0.6% | |
| R4 | #6 | 88.7% | 47.0% | 12.3% | 3.1% | 0.6% | |
| R1 | #4 | 57.5% | 15.6% | 6.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% | |
| R4 | #5 | 33.5% | 10.0% | 5.8% | 1.7% | 0.3% | |
| R1 | #5 | 42.5% | 9.4% | 2.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| R3 | #6 | 42.9% | 19.9% | 4.6% | 1.1% | 0.1% | |
| R1 | #6 | 20.5% | 7.4% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| R1 | #7 | 17.4% | 2.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| R1 | #8 | 6.2% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| R2 | #4 | 11.2% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| R2 | #6 | 5.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| R2 | #7 | 2.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| R2 | #8 | 20.9% | 4.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| R3 | #7 | 19.9% | 4.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| R3 | #8 | 6.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| R4 | #3 | 11.3% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| R4 | #7 | 23.6% | 7.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| R4 | #8 | 8.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Most Likely Championship Matchups
16.1%
chance
10.7%
chance
6.4%
chance
4.6%
chance
4.2%
chance
4.0%
chance
3.9%
chance
3.4%
chance
3.0%
chance
3.0%
chance
| # | Team | Region | Seed | Rating | R2% | QF% | SF% | Final% | Champ% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | R2 | #3 | Ithaca — 2026 W9 (#31) | 94.3% | 69.2% | 51.4% | 41.3% | 30.6% | |
| 2 | R3 | #1 | Constantine — 2026 W9 (#59) | 93.5% | 70.9% | 57.4% | 38.9% | 19.8% | |
| 3 | R4 | #1 | Monroe St Mary Catholic Central — 2026 W9 (#77) | 91.6% | 59.2% | 46.9% | 25.8% | 10.6% | |
| 4 | R1 | #1 | Menominee — 2026 W9 (#98) | 93.8% | 74.0% | 48.0% | 16.4% | 8.3% | |
| 5 | R2 | #5 | Elkton-Pigeon-Bay Port Laker — 2026 W9 (#76) | 88.8% | 53.2% | 18.8% | 11.8% | 6.5% | |
| 6 | R2 | #2 | Millington — 2026 W9 (#80) | 97.6% | 29.8% | 15.9% | 9.9% | 5.4% | |
| 7 | R1 | #3 | McBain — 2026 W9 (#111) | 79.5% | 54.3% | 28.2% | 8.7% | 3.9% | |
| 8 | R2 | #1 | Pewamo-Westphalia — 2026 W9 (#89) | 79.1% | 40.5% | 13.1% | 7.7% | 3.9% | |
| 9 | R4 | #4 | Ottawa Lake Whiteford — 2026 W9 (#105) | 66.5% | 29.7% | 21.6% | 9.8% | 3.3% | |
| 10 | R3 | #2 | Schoolcraft — 2026 W9 (#152) | 80.1% | 45.5% | 13.7% | 6.0% | 1.6% | |
| 11 | R3 | #5 | Cassopolis — 2026 W9 (#135) | 59.3% | 18.2% | 10.7% | 5.2% | 1.6% | |
| 12 | R1 | #2 | Charlevoix — 2026 W9 (#173) | 82.6% | 35.8% | 12.9% | 2.5% | 0.9% | |
| 13 | R4 | #2 | Hanover-Horton — 2026 W9 (#194) | 76.4% | 44.2% | 12.4% | 3.7% | 0.8% | |
| 14 | R3 | #3 | North Muskegon — 2026 W9 (#179) | 57.1% | 29.9% | 8.0% | 2.8% | 0.7% | |
| 15 | R3 | #4 | Ravenna — 2026 W9 (#175) | 40.7% | 9.9% | 4.8% | 1.8% | 0.6% | |
| 16 | R4 | #6 | Union City — 2026 W9 (#210) | 88.7% | 47.0% | 12.3% | 3.1% | 0.6% | |
| 17 | R1 | #4 | Manistee — 2026 W9 (#212) | 57.5% | 15.6% | 6.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% | |
| 18 | R4 | #5 | Bronson — 2026 W9 (#183) | 33.5% | 10.0% | 5.8% | 1.7% | 0.3% | |
| 19 | R1 | #5 | Manton — 2026 W9 (#246) | 42.5% | 9.4% | 2.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 20 | R3 | #6 | Lawton — 2026 W9 (#209) | 42.9% | 19.9% | 4.6% | 1.1% | 0.1% | |
| 21 | R1 | #6 | Harrison — 2026 W9 (#253) | 20.5% | 7.4% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 22 | R1 | #7 | Oscoda — 2026 W9 (#340) | 17.4% | 2.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 23 | R1 | #8 | Lakeview — 2026 W9 (#360) | 6.2% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 24 | R2 | #4 | Burton Bendle — 2026 W9 (#282) | 11.2% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 25 | R2 | #6 | Saginaw Valley Lutheran — 2026 W9 (#267) | 5.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 26 | R2 | #7 | Clinton Township Clintondale — 2026 W9 (#392) | 2.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 27 | R2 | #8 | Cass City — 2026 W9 (#214) | 20.9% | 4.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 28 | R3 | #7 | Galesburg-Augusta — 2026 W9 (#297) | 19.9% | 4.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 29 | R3 | #8 | Saranac — 2026 W9 (#313) | 6.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 30 | R4 | #3 | Detroit Community — 2026 W9 (#383) | 11.3% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 31 | R4 | #7 | Jonesville — 2026 W9 (#317) | 23.6% | 7.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 32 | R4 | #8 | Leslie — 2026 W9 (#311) | 8.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Top 10 most likely championship matchups based on 32 teams.
16.1%
Ithaca
30.6% champ
vs
Constantine
19.8% champ
10.7%
Ithaca
30.6% champ
vs
Monroe St Mary Catholic Central
10.6% champ
6.4%
Constantine
19.8% champ
vs
Menominee
8.3% champ
4.6%
Constantine
19.8% champ
vs
EPBPL
6.5% champ
4.2%
Monroe St Mary Catholic Central
10.6% champ
vs
Menominee
8.3% champ
4.0%
Ithaca
30.6% champ
vs
Whiteford
3.3% champ
3.9%
Constantine
19.8% champ
vs
Millington
5.4% champ
3.4%
Constantine
19.8% champ
vs
McBain
3.9% champ
3.0%
Constantine
19.8% champ
vs
Pewamo-Westphalia
3.9% champ
3.0%
Monroe St Mary Catholic Central
10.6% champ
vs
EPBPL
6.5% champ
Playoff Hub
Division 8 · 2026 bracket odds and round-by-round predictions.
Playoff Bracket
1
Beal City
98%
8
Beaverton
2%
4
Iron Mountain
39%
5
East Jordan
61%
2
Bark River-Harris
89%
7
L'Anse
11%
3
Glen Lake
75%
6
Frankfort
25%
1
New Lothrop
88%
8
Vestaburg
12%
4
Sacred Heart
43%
5
Lutheran Sem
57%
2
Ubly
74%
7
Vassar
26%
3
Unionville-Seb
85%
6
Nouvel CC
16%
1
Beal City
86%
5
East Jordan
14%
2
Bark River-Harris
40%
3
Glen Lake
60%
1
New Lothrop
62%
5
Lutheran Sem
38%
2
Ubly
54%
3
Unionville-Seb
46%
1
Beal City
85%
3
Glen Lake
15%
1
New Lothrop
33%
2
Ubly
67%
1
Beal City
70%
2
Ubly
30%
🏆 Championship
1
Beal City
38%
1
Hudson
62%
1
Hudson
90%
3
Everest Coll
11%
1
Hudson
85%
2
Decatur
15%
1
MH Madison
42%
3
Everest Coll
58%
1
Hudson
86%
4
Manchester
14%
2
Decatur
51%
3
Springport
49%
1
MH Madison
95%
5
Burton Atherton
5%
2
Shrine Catholic
21%
3
Everest Coll
79%
1
Hudson
98%
8
Sand Creek
2%
4
Manchester
53%
5
Fowler
48%
2
Decatur
79%
7
Maple Valley
21%
3
Springport
78%
6
Saugatuck
22%
1
MH Madison
97%
8
Parkway Chris
3%
4
Southfield Bradford Academy
49%
5
Burton Atherton
52%
2
Shrine Catholic
86%
7
Cardinal Mooney
14%
3
Everest Coll
84%
6
AP Cabrini
16%
Region 1 · Game 1
1
Beal City
98%
8
Beaverton
2%
Region 1 · Game 2
4
Iron Mountain
39%
5
East Jordan
61%
Region 1 · Game 3
2
Bark River-Harris
89%
7
L'Anse
11%
Region 1 · Game 4
3
Glen Lake
75%
6
Frankfort
25%
Region 2 · Game 1
1
New Lothrop
88%
8
Vestaburg
12%
Region 2 · Game 2
4
Sacred Heart
43%
5
Lutheran Sem
57%
Region 2 · Game 3
2
Ubly
74%
7
Vassar
26%
Region 2 · Game 4
3
Unionville-Seb
85%
6
Nouvel CC
16%
Region 3 · Game 1
1
Hudson
98%
8
Sand Creek
2%
Region 3 · Game 2
4
Manchester
53%
5
Fowler
48%
Region 3 · Game 3
2
Decatur
79%
7
Maple Valley
21%
Region 3 · Game 4
3
Springport
78%
6
Saugatuck
22%
Region 4 · Game 1
1
MH Madison
97%
8
Parkway Chris
3%
Region 4 · Game 2
4
Southfield Bradford Academy
49%
5
Burton Atherton
52%
Region 4 · Game 3
2
Shrine Catholic
86%
7
Cardinal Mooney
14%
Region 4 · Game 4
3
Everest Coll
84%
6
AP Cabrini
16%
Region 1 · Game 1
1
Beal City
86%
5
East Jordan
14%
Region 1 · Game 2
2
Bark River-Harris
40%
3
Glen Lake
60%
Region 2 · Game 1
1
New Lothrop
62%
5
Lutheran Sem
38%
Region 2 · Game 2
2
Ubly
54%
3
Unionville-Seb
46%
Region 3 · Game 1
1
Hudson
86%
4
Manchester
14%
Region 3 · Game 2
2
Decatur
51%
3
Springport
49%
Region 4 · Game 1
1
MH Madison
95%
5
Burton Atherton
5%
Region 4 · Game 2
2
Shrine Catholic
21%
3
Everest Coll
79%
Region 1
1
Beal City
85%
3
Glen Lake
15%
Region 2
1
New Lothrop
33%
2
Ubly
67%
Region 3
1
Hudson
85%
2
Decatur
15%
Region 4
1
MH Madison
42%
3
Everest Coll
58%
Semifinal 1
1
Beal City
70%
2
Ubly
30%
Semifinal 2
1
Hudson
90%
3
Everest Coll
11%
Championship
1
Beal City
38%
1
Hudson
62%
Regions
Region 1
1
Beal City
8
Beaverton
4
Iron Mountain
5
East Jordan
2
Bark River-Harris
7
L'Anse
3
Glen Lake
6
Frankfort
Region 2
1
New Lothrop
8
Vestaburg
4
Sacred Heart
5
Lutheran Sem
2
Ubly
7
Vassar
3
Unionville-Seb
6
Nouvel CC
Region 3
1
Hudson
8
Sand Creek
4
Manchester
5
Fowler
2
Decatur
7
Maple Valley
3
Springport
6
Saugatuck
Region 4
1
MH Madison
8
Parkway Chris
4
Southfield Bradford Academy
5
Burton Atherton
2
Shrine Catholic
7
Cardinal Mooney
3
Everest Coll
6
AP Cabrini
Toughest Regions
Easiest
Toughest
R3
6.53
R2
2.68
R1
-2.78
R4
-22.38
Championship Odds
Round-by-Round Odds
| Team | Rgn | Seed | R2% | QF% | SF% | Final% | Champ% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R3 | #1 | 98.6% | 86.1% | 74.5% | 68.4% | 49.2% | |
| R1 | #1 | 98.1% | 85.5% | 75.2% | 58.0% | 29.9% | |
| R2 | #2 | 74.9% | 45.6% | 32.7% | 12.9% | 4.6% | |
| R2 | #3 | 84.3% | 42.7% | 29.3% | 11.3% | 3.8% | |
| R3 | #2 | 79.0% | 45.4% | 9.3% | 6.5% | 2.3% | |
| R3 | #3 | 78.2% | 44.0% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 2.0% | |
| R4 | #3 | 83.5% | 68.1% | 41.3% | 7.3% | 2.0% | |
| R2 | #1 | 88.0% | 56.4% | 21.7% | 6.2% | 1.5% | |
| R4 | #1 | 97.0% | 92.5% | 48.8% | 6.6% | 1.2% | |
| R1 | #3 | 74.4% | 48.8% | 9.6% | 3.8% | 0.7% | |
| R3 | #4 | 51.9% | 7.5% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 0.7% | |
| R3 | #5 | 48.1% | 6.2% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.7% | |
| R1 | #5 | 60.8% | 10.0% | 5.7% | 2.2% | 0.5% | |
| R2 | #5 | 57.2% | 24.5% | 6.7% | 1.5% | 0.3% | |
| R1 | #2 | 88.6% | 40.0% | 6.3% | 1.8% | 0.2% | |
| R1 | #4 | 39.2% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| R2 | #4 | 42.8% | 16.1% | 4.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | |
| R2 | #7 | 25.1% | 9.0% | 4.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% | |
| R3 | #7 | 21.0% | 5.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| R1 | #6 | 25.6% | 10.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| R1 | #7 | 11.4% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| R1 | #8 | 1.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| R2 | #6 | 15.7% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| R2 | #8 | 12.0% | 3.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| R3 | #6 | 21.8% | 5.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| R3 | #8 | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| R4 | #2 | 85.9% | 22.7% | 7.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | |
| R4 | #4 | 48.4% | 3.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| R4 | #5 | 51.6% | 3.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| R4 | #6 | 16.5% | 8.0% | 1.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| R4 | #7 | 14.1% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| R4 | #8 | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Most Likely Championship Matchups
39.7%
chance
8.8%
chance
7.7%
chance
4.2%
chance
4.2%
chance
3.8%
chance
3.8%
chance
3.6%
chance
2.6%
chance
1.5%
chance
| # | Team | Region | Seed | Rating | R2% | QF% | SF% | Final% | Champ% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | R3 | #1 | Hudson — 2026 W9 (#33) | 98.6% | 86.1% | 74.5% | 68.4% | 49.2% | |
| 2 | R1 | #1 | Beal City — 2026 W9 (#56) | 98.1% | 85.5% | 75.2% | 58.0% | 29.9% | |
| 3 | R2 | #2 | Ubly — 2026 W9 (#114) | 74.9% | 45.6% | 32.7% | 12.9% | 4.6% | |
| 4 | R2 | #3 | Unionville-Sebewaing — 2026 W9 (#131) | 84.3% | 42.7% | 29.3% | 11.3% | 3.8% | |
| 5 | R3 | #2 | Decatur — 2026 W9 (#149) | 79.0% | 45.4% | 9.3% | 6.5% | 2.3% | |
| 6 | R3 | #3 | Springport — 2026 W9 (#156) | 78.2% | 44.0% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 2.0% | |
| 7 | R4 | #3 | Clarkston Everest Collegiate — 2026 W9 (#200) | 83.5% | 68.1% | 41.3% | 7.3% | 2.0% | |
| 8 | R2 | #1 | New Lothrop — 2026 W9 (#188) | 88.0% | 56.4% | 21.7% | 6.2% | 1.5% | |
| 9 | R4 | #1 | Madison Heights Madison — 2026 W9 (#238) | 97.0% | 92.5% | 48.8% | 6.6% | 1.2% | |
| 10 | R1 | #3 | Maple City Glen Lake — 2026 W9 (#208) | 74.4% | 48.8% | 9.6% | 3.8% | 0.7% | |
| 11 | R3 | #4 | Manchester — 2026 W9 (#164) | 51.9% | 7.5% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 0.7% | |
| 12 | R3 | #5 | Fowler — 2026 W9 (#177) | 48.1% | 6.2% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.7% | |
| 13 | R1 | #5 | East Jordan — 2026 W9 (#217) | 60.8% | 10.0% | 5.7% | 2.2% | 0.5% | |
| 14 | R2 | #5 | Saginaw Michigan Lutheran Seminary — 2026 W9 (#243) | 57.2% | 24.5% | 6.7% | 1.5% | 0.3% | |
| 15 | R1 | #2 | Bark River-Harris — 2026 W9 (#249) | 88.6% | 40.0% | 6.3% | 1.8% | 0.2% | |
| 16 | R1 | #4 | Iron Mountain — 2026 W9 (#260) | 39.2% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 17 | R2 | #4 | Mount Pleasant Sacred Heart — 2026 W9 (#271) | 42.8% | 16.1% | 4.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | |
| 18 | R2 | #7 | Vassar — 2026 W9 (#224) | 25.1% | 9.0% | 4.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% | |
| 19 | R3 | #7 | Vermontville Maple Valley — 2026 W9 (#291) | 21.0% | 5.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 20 | R1 | #6 | Frankfort — 2026 W9 (#321) | 25.6% | 10.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 21 | R1 | #7 | L'Anse — 2026 W9 (#408) | 11.4% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 22 | R1 | #8 | Beaverton — 2026 W9 (#400) | 1.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 23 | R2 | #6 | Saginaw Nouvel Catholic Central — 2026 W9 (#310) | 15.7% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 24 | R2 | #8 | Vestaburg — 2026 W9 (#368) | 12.0% | 3.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 25 | R3 | #6 | Saugatuck — 2026 W9 (#292) | 21.8% | 5.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 26 | R3 | #8 | Sand Creek — 2026 W9 (#381) | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 27 | R4 | #2 | Royal Oak Shrine Catholic — 2026 W9 (#333) | 85.9% | 22.7% | 7.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | |
| 28 | R4 | #4 | Southfield Bradford Academy — 2026 W9 (#446) | 48.4% | 3.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 29 | R4 | #5 | Burton Atherton — 2026 W9 (#442) | 51.6% | 3.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 30 | R4 | #6 | Allen Park Cabrini — 2026 W9 (#355) | 16.5% | 8.0% | 1.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 31 | R4 | #7 | Marine City Cardinal Mooney — 2026 W9 (#436) | 14.1% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 32 | R4 | #8 | Sterling Heights Parkway Christian — 2026 W9 (#457) | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Top 10 most likely championship matchups based on 32 teams.
39.7%
Hudson
49.2% champ
vs
Beal City
29.9% champ
8.8%
Hudson
49.2% champ
vs
Ubly
4.6% champ
7.7%
Hudson
49.2% champ
vs
Unionville-Seb
3.8% champ
4.2%
Hudson
49.2% champ
vs
New Lothrop
1.5% champ
4.2%
Beal City
29.9% champ
vs
Everest Coll
2.0% champ
3.8%
Beal City
29.9% champ
vs
Decatur
2.3% champ
3.8%
Beal City
29.9% champ
vs
MH Madison
1.2% champ
3.6%
Beal City
29.9% champ
vs
Springport
2.0% champ
2.6%
Hudson
49.2% champ
vs
Glen Lake
0.7% champ
1.5%
Hudson
49.2% champ
vs
East Jordan
0.5% champ