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2025
Goosepoop › Model Accuracy
2025
All-Time · 1738 Games Rated
84.2% Win Accuracy
1464/1738 Correct Picks
13.2 Avg Spread Err
14.8 Avg Total Err
76.5% Avg Confidence
2025 — Weekly Accuracy
2025 — Weekly Breakdown
Week Games Correct Accuracy Spread Err Total Err
Week 1 * 252 — — — —
Week 2 * 251 — — — —
Week 3 * 254 — — — —
Week 4 247 207 83.8% 15.4 pts 17.6 pts
Week 5 250 210 84.0% 13.3 pts 15.2 pts
Week 6 251 210 83.7% 12.2 pts 14.5 pts
Week 7 249 213 85.5% 12.8 pts 14.5 pts
Week 8 243 213 87.7% 12.3 pts 13.7 pts
Week 9 250 204 81.6% 13.4 pts 14.6 pts
Week 10 128 105 82.0% 11.7 pts 14.4 pts
Week 11 64 57 89.1% 13.5 pts 11.6 pts
Week 12 32 23 71.9% 14.2 pts 14.5 pts
Week 13 16 15 93.8% 13.3 pts 12.0 pts
Week 14 8 7 87.5% 15.7 pts 6.1 pts

* Weeks 1–3 use prior-year ratings as a baseline. The model is not fully primed until after week 3.

Year by Year
Year Games Correct Accuracy Spread Err Total Err Avg Conf
2025 1738 1464 84.2% 13.2 pts 14.8 pts 76.5%
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