Last updated: Sunday, September 28th, 2025

2025 MHSAA Football Predictions

Updated after every week.

Midland Dow's projected record is 7.8 - 1.2

Date Team Gpoop Rating Point Spread Win Prob. Score
Aug. 28, 2025 Midland Dow
49.0
85.0%
38
Fenton
29.1
19.8
15.0%
6
Sept. 5, 2025 Midland Dow
49.0
84.0%
49
Saginaw Heritage
30.3
18.7
16.0%
34
Sept. 12, 2025 Mount Pleasant
51.1
52.0%
63
Midland Dow
49.0
2.1
48.0%
39
Sept. 19, 2025 Midland Dow
49.0
93.0%
42
Bay City Western
23.5
25.5
7.0%
12
Sept. 26, 2025 Midland Dow
49.0
79.0%
31
Traverse City Central
34.9
14.1
21.0%
8
Oct. 3, 2025 Traverse City West
25.4
10.0%
Midland Dow
49.0
-23.5
90.0%
Oct. 10, 2025 Bay City Central
1.7
1.0%
Midland Dow
49.0
-47.3
99.0%
Oct. 17, 2025 Midland Dow
49.0
97.0%
Lapeer
16.3
32.6
3.0%
Oct. 24, 2025 Midland Dow
49.0
96.0%
Midland
19.5
29.5
4.0%

Midland Dow's most likely first round playoff opponent is Traverse City West

First Round Opponent Odds You Play Them Gpoop Rating Point Spread Win Prob.
Traverse City West 28.0%
25.4
-23.5
90.0%
Saginaw Heritage 20.7%
30.3
-18.7
84.0%
Traverse City Central 13.6%
34.9
-14.1
79.0%
Lansing Everett 9.5%
14.6
-34.4
97.0%
Milford 8.1%
13.9
-35.1
97.0%
Midland 4.7%
19.5
-29.5
96.0%
East Lansing 3.3%
7.6
-41.4
99.0%
Lapeer 2.8%
16.3
-32.6
97.0%
White Lake Lakeland 2.4%
16.2
-32.8
97.0%
Waterford Mott 1.7%
17.7
-31.3
96.0%
Dexter 1.0%
44.2
-4.8
55.0%
Flushing 0.9%
16.6
-32.4
96.0%
Grand Rapids Forest Hills Northern 0.9%
26.5
-22.5
89.0%
Portage Northern 0.5%
26.4
-22.6
89.0%
South Lyon 0.4%
33.2
-15.8
81.0%
Port Huron Northern 0.3%
11.7
-37.3
99.0%
Byron Center 0.3%
36.6
-12.4
77.0%
Battle Creek Central 0.2%
9.2
-39.8
99.0%
Grand Rapids Northview 0.2%
36.3
-12.7
78.0%
Muskegon Mona Shores 0.2%
40.0
-9.0
65.0%
Walled Lake Western 0.1%
25.0
-24.0
90.0%
Temperance Bedford 0.1%
12.1
-36.9
99.0%
Muskegon 0.1%
49.3
0.4
50.0%
First Round Opponent Odds You Play Them Gpoop Rating Point Spread Win Prob.
Traverse City Central 25.5%
34.9
-14.1
79.0%
Saginaw Heritage 23.3%
30.3
-18.7
84.0%
Dexter 9.4%
44.2
-4.8
55.0%
Traverse City West 5.9%
25.4
-23.5
90.0%
White Lake Lakeland 5.0%
16.2
-32.8
97.0%
Lansing Everett 4.6%
14.6
-34.4
97.0%
Muskegon 3.3%
49.3
0.4
50.0%
Milford 2.6%
13.9
-35.1
97.0%
Grand Rapids Northview 2.3%
36.3
-12.7
78.0%
Midland 1.8%
19.5
-29.5
96.0%
Port Huron Northern 1.5%
11.7
-37.3
99.0%
South Lyon 0.7%
33.2
-15.8
81.0%
Walled Lake Western 0.7%
25.0
-24.0
90.0%
Portage Central 0.5%
55.4
6.4
43.0%
Lapeer 0.4%
16.3
-32.6
97.0%
Waterford Mott 0.4%
17.7
-31.3
96.0%
East Lansing 0.4%
7.6
-41.4
99.0%
Orchard Lake St Mary's 0.3%
60.3
11.3
27.0%
Grand Rapids Forest Hills Northern 0.2%
26.5
-22.5
89.0%
Byron Center 0.1%
36.6
-12.4
77.0%
First Round Opponent Odds You Play Them Gpoop Rating Point Spread Win Prob.
Dexter 15.8%
44.2
-4.8
55.0%
South Lyon 15.6%
33.2
-15.8
81.0%
Orchard Lake St Mary's 10.1%
60.3
11.3
27.0%
Muskegon 9.2%
49.3
0.4
50.0%
Walled Lake Western 6.0%
25.0
-24.0
90.0%
Grand Rapids Northview 2.5%
36.3
-12.7
78.0%
Muskegon Mona Shores 2.0%
40.0
-9.0
65.0%
Byron Center 1.8%
36.6
-12.4
77.0%
White Lake Lakeland 1.4%
16.2
-32.8
97.0%
Portage Central 1.3%
55.4
6.4
43.0%
North Farmington 0.9%
21.6
-27.3
94.0%
South Lyon East 0.6%
12.2
-36.8
99.0%
Waterford Mott 0.6%
17.7
-31.3
96.0%
Milford 0.5%
13.9
-35.1
97.0%
Birmingham Groves 0.3%
36.6
-12.3
77.0%
Bloomfield Hills Brother Rice 0.2%
34.4
-14.6
80.0%
St Clair Shores Lakeview 0.2%
24.0
-25.0
91.5%
Traverse City Central 0.2%
34.9
-14.1
79.0%
Southgate Anderson 0.1%
8.9
-40.0
99.0%
Lapeer 0.1%
16.3
-32.6
97.0%
Saginaw Heritage 0.1%
30.3
-18.7
84.0%
Livonia Franklin 0.1%
16.5
-32.4
96.0%
Ferndale 0.1%
1.2
-47.8
99.0%
Portage Northern 0.1%
26.4
-22.6
89.0%
First Round Opponent Odds You Play Them Gpoop Rating Point Spread Win Prob.
Portage Central 27.3%
55.4
6.4
43.0%
Muskegon 8.9%
49.3
0.4
50.0%
Dexter 4.0%
44.2
-4.8
55.0%
Byron Center 1.6%
36.6
-12.4
77.0%
Muskegon Mona Shores 1.5%
40.0
-9.0
65.0%
Orchard Lake St Mary's 0.5%
60.3
11.3
27.0%
Grand Rapids Northview 0.5%
36.3
-12.7
78.0%
Gibraltar Carlson 0.3%
28.9
-20.1
85.0%
Traverse City Central 0.2%
34.9
-14.1
79.0%
North Farmington 0.1%
21.6
-27.3
94.0%
Lapeer 0.1%
16.3
-32.6
97.0%
Grosse Pointe South 0.1%
38.6
-10.3
69.0%
South Lyon 0.1%
33.2
-15.8
81.0%
First Round Opponent Odds You Play Them Gpoop Rating Point Spread Win Prob.
Orchard Lake St Mary's 15.2%
60.3
11.3
27.0%
Grosse Pointe South 1.6%
38.6
-10.3
69.0%
Birmingham Groves 1.1%
36.6
-12.3
77.0%
Gibraltar Carlson 0.7%
28.9
-20.1
85.0%
Roseville 0.7%
34.3
-14.6
80.0%
Dexter 0.3%
44.2
-4.8
55.0%
Warren Cousino 0.3%
16.2
-32.8
97.0%
South Lyon 0.3%
33.2
-15.8
81.0%
North Farmington 0.2%
21.6
-27.3
94.0%
Bloomfield Hills Brother Rice 0.2%
34.4
-14.6
80.0%
St Clair Shores Lakeview 0.1%
24.0
-25.0
91.5%
Southgate Anderson 0.1%
8.9
-40.0
99.0%
Portage Central 0.1%
55.4
6.4
43.0%

This is how Midland Dow's rating has trended, relative to the rest of the MHSAA