Last updated: Sunday, September 28th, 2025

2025 MHSAA Football Predictions

Updated after every week.
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Orchard Lake St Mary's's projected record is 6.7 - 1.3

Date Team Gpoop Rating Point Spread Win Prob. Score
Aug. 28, 2025 Orchard Lake St Mary's
60.3
97.0%
41
Portage Northern
26.4
33.9
3.0%
0
Sept. 5, 2025 Orchard Lake St Mary's
60.3
96.0%
42
Toledo St John's Jesuit (OH)
30.3
30.0
4.0%
10
Sept. 12, 2025 Orchard Lake St Mary's
60.3
97.0%
49
Warren De La Salle Collegiate
27.4
32.9
3.0%
10
Sept. 19, 2025 Detroit Catholic Central
60.1
50.0%
29
Orchard Lake St Mary's
60.3
-0.2
50.0%
14
Oct. 3, 2025 Detroit Country Day
14.4
1.0%
Orchard Lake St Mary's
60.3
-45.9
99.0%
Oct. 10, 2025 Orchard Lake St Mary's
60.3
78.0%
Toledo Central Catholic (OH)
47.8
12.5
22.0%
Oct. 17, 2025 Orchard Lake St Mary's
60.3
93.0%
Bloomfield Hills Brother Rice
34.4
25.9
7.0%
Oct. 24, 2025 Orchard Lake St Mary's
60.3
99.0%
River Rouge
18.2
42.1
1.0%
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Orchard Lake St Mary's's most likely first round playoff opponent is Waterford Mott

First Round Opponent Odds You Play Them Gpoop Rating Point Spread Win Prob.
Waterford Mott 28.6%
17.7
-42.6
99.0%
North Farmington 21.1%
21.6
-38.7
99.0%
Birmingham Seaholm 13.2%
11.2
-49.1
99.0%
White Lake Lakeland 12.2%
16.2
-44.1
99.0%
Bloomfield Hills Brother Rice 8.5%
34.4
-25.9
93.0%
Birmingham Groves 5.1%
36.6
-23.7
90.0%
Walled Lake Western 3.8%
25.0
-35.3
97.0%
Livonia Franklin 1.7%
16.5
-43.8
99.0%
Lapeer 1.5%
16.3
-44.0
99.0%
South Lyon East 1.2%
12.2
-48.1
99.0%
Milford 0.7%
13.9
-46.4
99.0%
Oak Park 0.6%
22.2
-38.1
99.0%
Southfield Arts & Technology 0.4%
19.4
-40.9
99.0%
Warren Cousino 0.4%
16.2
-44.1
99.0%
Allen Park 0.3%
16.3
-44.0
99.0%
Warren Mott 0.3%
-4.4
-64.6
99.0%
Temperance Bedford 0.2%
12.1
-48.2
99.0%
Saginaw Heritage 0.2%
30.3
-30.0
96.0%
First Round Opponent Odds You Play Them Gpoop Rating Point Spread Win Prob.
North Farmington 28.4%
21.6
-38.7
99.0%
Waterford Mott 21.0%
17.7
-42.6
99.0%
White Lake Lakeland 14.4%
16.2
-44.1
99.0%
Walled Lake Western 9.1%
25.0
-35.3
97.0%
Birmingham Groves 9.1%
36.6
-23.7
90.0%
Birmingham Seaholm 6.8%
11.2
-49.1
99.0%
Bloomfield Hills Brother Rice 3.0%
34.4
-25.9
93.0%
Livonia Franklin 2.3%
16.5
-43.8
99.0%
Warren Cousino 1.0%
16.2
-44.1
99.0%
Port Huron Northern 1.0%
11.7
-48.6
99.0%
Milford 0.5%
13.9
-46.4
99.0%
Oak Park 0.4%
22.2
-38.1
99.0%
South Lyon 0.3%
33.2
-27.1
94.0%
Midland Dow 0.3%
49.0
-11.3
73.0%
Southfield Arts & Technology 0.3%
19.4
-40.9
99.0%
Lapeer 0.2%
16.3
-44.0
99.0%
Allen Park 0.1%
16.3
-44.0
99.0%
South Lyon East 0.1%
12.2
-48.1
99.0%
Saginaw Heritage 0.1%
30.3
-30.0
96.0%
Livonia Churchill 0.1%
-1.2
-61.4
99.0%
First Round Opponent Odds You Play Them Gpoop Rating Point Spread Win Prob.
Gibraltar Carlson 38.2%
28.9
-31.4
96.0%
Midland Dow 10.1%
49.0
-11.3
73.0%
Allen Park 9.1%
16.3
-44.0
99.0%
Grosse Pointe South 7.0%
38.6
-21.7
88.0%
Roseville 6.4%
34.3
-26.0
93.0%
Birmingham Groves 5.8%
36.6
-23.7
90.0%
Livonia Franklin 5.3%
16.5
-43.8
99.0%
Dexter 2.2%
44.2
-16.1
81.0%
Southgate Anderson 1.4%
8.9
-51.4
99.0%
Saginaw Heritage 1.3%
30.3
-30.0
96.0%
South Lyon 1.2%
33.2
-27.1
94.0%
Temperance Bedford 1.1%
12.1
-48.2
99.0%
Oak Park 0.9%
22.2
-38.1
99.0%
Walled Lake Western 0.9%
25.0
-35.3
97.0%
North Farmington 0.8%
21.6
-38.7
99.0%
Traverse City Central 0.6%
34.9
-25.4
91.5%
Warren Cousino 0.6%
16.2
-44.1
99.0%
St Clair Shores Lakeview 0.6%
24.0
-36.3
97.0%
White Lake Lakeland 0.4%
16.2
-44.1
99.0%
Birmingham Seaholm 0.4%
11.2
-49.1
99.0%
Port Huron Northern 0.4%
11.7
-48.6
99.0%
Waterford Mott 0.3%
17.7
-42.6
99.0%
Lansing Everett 0.3%
14.6
-45.7
99.0%
Bloomfield Hills Brother Rice 0.3%
34.4
-25.9
93.0%
Traverse City West 0.2%
25.4
-34.9
97.0%
Portage Central 0.2%
55.4
-4.9
55.0%
South Lyon East 0.1%
12.2
-48.1
99.0%
Ferndale 0.1%
1.2
-59.1
99.0%
Lincoln Park 0.1%
0.6
-59.7
99.0%
Milford 0.1%
13.9
-46.4
99.0%
First Round Opponent Odds You Play Them Gpoop Rating Point Spread Win Prob.
Grosse Pointe South 21.3%
38.6
-21.7
88.0%
Birmingham Groves 19.0%
36.6
-23.7
90.0%
Roseville 16.8%
34.3
-26.0
93.0%
Gibraltar Carlson 7.9%
28.9
-31.4
96.0%
Portage Central 6.7%
55.4
-4.9
55.0%
Oak Park 4.4%
22.2
-38.1
99.0%
Muskegon 2.3%
49.3
-10.9
73.0%
St Clair Shores Lakeview 2.2%
24.0
-36.3
97.0%
Warren Cousino 1.9%
16.2
-44.1
99.0%
Allen Park 1.1%
16.3
-44.0
99.0%
Livonia Franklin 0.8%
16.5
-43.8
99.0%
Byron Center 0.8%
36.6
-23.7
90.0%
Bloomfield Hills Brother Rice 0.8%
34.4
-25.9
93.0%
Dexter 0.7%
44.2
-16.1
81.0%
Grand Rapids Northview 0.6%
36.3
-24.0
90.0%
Midland Dow 0.5%
49.0
-11.3
73.0%
Birmingham Seaholm 0.5%
11.2
-49.1
99.0%
Temperance Bedford 0.2%
12.1
-48.2
99.0%
Traverse City Central 0.2%
34.9
-25.4
91.5%
Port Huron Northern 0.2%
11.7
-48.6
99.0%
Grand Rapids Forest Hills Northern 0.1%
26.5
-33.8
97.0%
Muskegon Mona Shores 0.1%
40.0
-20.3
85.0%
Portage Northern 0.1%
26.4
-33.9
97.0%
Ferndale 0.1%
1.2
-59.1
99.0%
South Lyon 0.1%
33.2
-27.1
94.0%
Southfield Arts & Technology 0.1%
19.4
-40.9
99.0%
First Round Opponent Odds You Play Them Gpoop Rating Point Spread Win Prob.
Portage Central 31.5%
55.4
-4.9
55.0%
Midland Dow 15.2%
49.0
-11.3
73.0%
Muskegon 11.0%
49.3
-10.9
73.0%
Dexter 8.6%
44.2
-16.1
81.0%
South Lyon 2.7%
33.2
-27.1
94.0%
Muskegon Mona Shores 2.0%
40.0
-20.3
85.0%
Grosse Pointe South 1.4%
38.6
-21.7
88.0%
Birmingham Groves 1.3%
36.6
-23.7
90.0%
Byron Center 1.1%
36.6
-23.7
90.0%
Gibraltar Carlson 0.9%
28.9
-31.4
96.0%
Roseville 0.8%
34.3
-26.0
93.0%
Traverse City Central 0.5%
34.9
-25.4
91.5%
Bloomfield Hills Brother Rice 0.4%
34.4
-25.9
93.0%
Grand Rapids Northview 0.4%
36.3
-24.0
90.0%
Walled Lake Western 0.4%
25.0
-35.3
97.0%
St Clair Shores Lakeview 0.3%
24.0
-36.3
97.0%
Warren Cousino 0.2%
16.2
-44.1
99.0%
Saginaw Heritage 0.1%
30.3
-30.0
96.0%
Oak Park 0.1%
22.2
-38.1
99.0%
North Farmington 0.1%
21.6
-38.7
99.0%
Livonia Franklin 0.1%
16.5
-43.8
99.0%
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This is how Orchard Lake St Mary's's rating has trended, relative to the rest of the MHSAA