Last updated: Sunday, September 28th, 2025

2025 MHSAA Football Predictions

Updated after every week.

Fenton's projected record is 5.6 - 2.4

Date Team Gpoop Rating Point Spread Win Prob. Score
Aug. 28, 2025 Midland Dow
49.0
85.0%
38
Fenton
29.1
19.8
15.0%
6
Sept. 5, 2025 Haslett
26.4
47.0%
15
Fenton
29.1
-2.7
53.0%
14
Sept. 12, 2025 Fenton
29.1
78.0%
41
Flushing
16.6
12.5
22.0%
12
Sept. 19, 2025 Fenton
29.1
99.0%
49
Swartz Creek
-10.5
39.7
1.0%
0
Sept. 26, 2025 Fenton
29.1
95.0%
40
Holly
1.2
28.0
5.0%
22
Oct. 3, 2025 Flint Kearsley
-16.0
1.0%
Fenton
29.1
-45.1
99.0%
Oct. 10, 2025 Fenton
29.1
73.0%
Linden
18.1
11.0
27.0%
Oct. 24, 2025 North Branch
7.8
13.0%
Fenton
29.1
-21.3
87.0%

Fenton's most likely first round playoff opponent is Linden

First Round Opponent Odds You Play Them Gpoop Rating Point Spread Win Prob.
Linden 24.9%
18.1
-11.0
73.0%
Holly 18.7%
1.2
-28.0
95.0%
Bay City John Glenn 12.0%
19.4
-9.7
69.0%
Owosso 11.7%
3.6
-25.5
93.0%
Ypsilanti Community 7.9%
5.2
-23.9
90.0%
Adrian 7.5%
7.3
-21.8
88.0%
Mason 4.4%
25.9
-3.2
53.0%
Bay City Western 3.6%
23.5
-5.7
57.0%
Redford Thurston 2.8%
-2.1
-31.2
96.0%
Ypsilanti Lincoln 2.0%
10.9
-18.2
83.0%
Trenton 0.8%
15.8
-13.4
78.0%
DeWitt 0.7%
43.2
14.0
21.0%
Warren Fitzgerald 0.6%
5.3
-23.8
90.0%
Jackson Northwest 0.5%
3.1
-26.0
93.0%
Marysville 0.5%
6.8
-22.4
88.0%
River Rouge 0.2%
18.2
-11.0
73.0%
Warren De La Salle Collegiate 0.1%
27.4
-1.7
52.0%
Port Huron 0.1%
-1.2
-30.3
96.0%
Detroit Martin Luther King 0.1%
42.0
12.9
22.0%
First Round Opponent Odds You Play Them Gpoop Rating Point Spread Win Prob.
Linden 25.6%
18.1
-11.0
73.0%
Bay City John Glenn 11.7%
19.4
-9.7
69.0%
Ypsilanti Lincoln 5.7%
10.9
-18.2
83.0%
DeWitt 5.6%
43.2
14.0
21.0%
Holly 5.4%
1.2
-28.0
95.0%
Mason 5.3%
25.9
-3.2
53.0%
Adrian 5.3%
7.3
-21.8
88.0%
Bay City Western 4.3%
23.5
-5.7
57.0%
Ypsilanti Community 3.8%
5.2
-23.9
90.0%
Owosso 3.3%
3.6
-25.5
93.0%
Warren Fitzgerald 2.4%
5.3
-23.8
90.0%
Redford Thurston 1.2%
-2.1
-31.2
96.0%
Trenton 0.7%
15.8
-13.4
78.0%
Detroit Martin Luther King 0.4%
42.0
12.9
22.0%
Warren De La Salle Collegiate 0.2%
27.4
-1.7
52.0%
Jackson Northwest 0.2%
3.1
-26.0
93.0%
Port Huron 0.1%
-1.2
-30.3
96.0%
First Round Opponent Odds You Play Them Gpoop Rating Point Spread Win Prob.
DeWitt 22.4%
43.2
14.0
21.0%
Mount Pleasant 13.5%
51.1
21.9
12.0%
Mason 7.1%
25.9
-3.2
53.0%
Detroit Martin Luther King 3.8%
42.0
12.9
22.0%
Lowell 1.8%
44.1
15.0
20.0%
Coldwater 1.5%
16.0
-13.1
78.0%
Gaylord 1.4%
24.9
-4.2
54.0%
Warren De La Salle Collegiate 1.3%
27.4
-1.7
52.0%
Bay City Western 1.3%
23.5
-5.7
57.0%
Adrian 0.9%
7.3
-21.8
88.0%
Bay City John Glenn 0.9%
19.4
-9.7
69.0%
Ypsilanti Lincoln 0.6%
10.9
-18.2
83.0%
Hastings 0.5%
23.8
-5.3
55.0%
Linden 0.4%
18.1
-11.0
73.0%
Marquette 0.3%
15.6
-13.5
79.0%
Ypsilanti Community 0.3%
5.2
-23.9
90.0%
Middleville Thornapple Kellogg 0.2%
18.8
-10.4
69.0%
Marysville 0.2%
6.8
-22.4
88.0%
Port Huron 0.1%
-1.2
-30.3
96.0%
Trenton 0.1%
15.8
-13.4
78.0%
Cedar Springs 0.1%
31.5
2.3
48.0%
Jackson Northwest 0.1%
3.1
-26.0
93.0%
Grand Rapids Forest Hills Central 0.1%
9.4
-19.7
85.0%
Owosso 0.1%
3.6
-25.5
93.0%
Petoskey 0.1%
15.2
-13.9
79.0%
First Round Opponent Odds You Play Them Gpoop Rating Point Spread Win Prob.
Detroit Martin Luther King 12.4%
42.0
12.9
22.0%
Warren De La Salle Collegiate 2.9%
27.4
-1.7
52.0%
DeWitt 0.5%
43.2
14.0
21.0%
Mount Pleasant 0.5%
51.1
21.9
12.0%
Mason 0.4%
25.9
-3.2
53.0%
Ypsilanti Lincoln 0.2%
10.9
-18.2
83.0%
Riverview 0.2%
14.5
-14.6
80.0%
Marysville 0.1%
6.8
-22.4
88.0%
River Rouge 0.1%
18.2
-11.0
73.0%
Warren Fitzgerald 0.1%
5.3
-23.8
90.0%
Ypsilanti Community 0.1%
5.2
-23.9
90.0%
Adrian 0.1%
7.3
-21.8
88.0%
Zeeland West 0.1%
31.6
2.5
47.0%
Bay City Western 0.1%
23.5
-5.7
57.0%
Coldwater 0.1%
16.0
-13.1
78.0%
East Grand Rapids 0.1%
38.9
9.8
31.0%
Grand Rapids Kenowa Hills 0.1%
32.0
2.9
47.0%
Holly 0.1%
1.2
-28.0
95.0%
Lowell 0.1%
44.1
15.0
20.0%
First Round Opponent Odds You Play Them Gpoop Rating Point Spread Win Prob.
Mount Pleasant 2.4%
51.1
21.9
12.0%
Lowell 1.2%
44.1
15.0
20.0%
DeWitt 0.9%
43.2
14.0
21.0%
Zeeland West 0.5%
31.6
2.5
47.0%
East Grand Rapids 0.3%
38.9
9.8
31.0%
Fruitport 0.1%
22.4
-6.8
59.0%
Coldwater 0.1%
16.0
-13.1
78.0%
Bay City Western 0.1%
23.5
-5.7
57.0%

This is how Fenton's rating has trended, relative to the rest of the MHSAA