Last updated: Sunday, September 28th, 2025

2025 MHSAA Football Predictions

Updated after every week.

This is the Gpoop Computer Model's ranking of all Division 3 Teams:

Rk Team Gpoop Rating 1 Week Change Record Fcast Make Playoffs Win 1stRd. Win Districts Win Regionals Win Semis Win Finals
1 Mount Pleasant
51.1
0.0
8.8-0.2
100.0%
95.4%
85.1%
68.8%
53.9%
38.5%
2 Lowell
44.1
0.0
7.8-1.2
100.0%
83.6%
56.4%
36.2%
24.9%
12.9%
3 DeWitt
43.2
0.0
8.6-0.4
100.0%
92.2%
73.7%
53.8%
32.9%
14.6%
4 Detroit Martin Luther King
42.0
0.0
5.6-3.4
99.0%
94.3%
88.7%
73.7%
42.5%
21.3%
5 East Grand Rapids
38.9
0.0
6.6-2.4
100.0%
71.1%
38.2%
20.0%
10.4%
4.6%
6 Grand Rapids Kenowa Hills
32.0
0.0
6.7-2.3
100.0%
55.9%
27.0%
15.9%
4.6%
1.4%
7 Zeeland West
31.6
0.0
6.5-2.5
99.7%
72.6%
41.9%
21.6%
5.4%
1.2%
8 Cedar Springs
31.5
0.0
7.5-1.5
99.9%
45.9%
20.8%
8.7%
2.1%
0.6%
9 Fenton
29.1
0.0
5.6-2.4
99.1%
81.2%
59.1%
18.3%
5.6%
1.0%
10 Niles
28.0
0.0
8.0-1.0
100.0%
72.5%
44.8%
18.4%
3.1%
0.2%
11 Warren De La Salle Collegiate
27.4
0.0
3.5-5.5
90.1%
77.1%
61.9%
19.9%
5.5%
1.7%
12 Mason
25.9
0.0
4.4-4.6
95.0%
61.8%
26.0%
9.7%
2.9%
0.9%
13 Gaylord
24.9
0.0
8.3-0.7
100.0%
62.2%
9.3%
1.9%
0.6%
0.3%
14 Coopersville
24.1
0.0
3.7-5.3
57.7%
21.6%
10.0%
2.7%
0.8%
0.1%
15 Hastings
23.8
0.0
6.5-2.5
99.2%
39.4%
10.7%
4.7%
1.0%
0.1%
16 Bay City Western
23.5
0.0
4.7-4.3
87.6%
37.4%
12.0%
2.2%
0.9%
0.3%
17 Fruitport
22.4
0.0
5.9-3.1
82.6%
27.5%
10.8%
4.5%
0.6%
0.1%
18 Bay City John Glenn
19.4
0.0
6.5-2.5
89.6%
37.8%
12.5%
1.9%
0.4%
0.1%
19 Middleville Thornapple Kellogg
18.8
0.0
4.9-4.1
69.1%
13.7%
3.8%
1.5%
0.3%
0.0%
20 River Rouge
18.2
0.0
3.1-5.9
10.9%
6.4%
1.9%
0.6%
0.2%
0.0%
21 Linden
18.1
0.0
5.6-2.4
85.4%
43.3%
15.4%
2.5%
0.2%
0.0%
22 St Joseph
17.6
0.0
4.7-4.3
93.0%
33.4%
9.5%
2.4%
0.1%
0.0%
23 Zeeland East
16.3
0.0
5.6-3.4
88.8%
26.2%
8.1%
1.9%
0.1%
0.0%
24 Coldwater
16.0
0.0
6.7-2.3
92.3%
30.3%
9.2%
1.9%
0.2%
0.1%
25 Trenton
15.8
0.0
4.4-4.6
94.2%
45.5%
13.0%
1.8%
0.3%
0.0%
26 Marquette
15.6
0.0
5.0-4.0
67.9%
14.0%
2.6%
0.5%
0.1%
0.0%
27 Petoskey
15.2
0.0
4.7-4.3
53.8%
8.6%
1.4%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
28 Riverview
14.5
0.0
4.6-4.4
22.5%
10.1%
1.5%
0.5%
0.0%
0.0%
29 Ypsilanti Lincoln
10.9
0.0
6.4-2.6
99.6%
48.4%
13.1%
1.3%
0.1%
0.0%
30 Grand Rapids Forest Hills Central
9.4
0.0
2.7-6.3
18.4%
2.0%
0.3%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
31 Adrian
7.3
0.0
6.5-2.5
88.7%
26.4%
6.1%
0.2%
0.1%
0.0%
32 Marysville
6.8
0.0
5.7-3.3
91.7%
39.3%
7.7%
0.6%
0.0%
0.0%
33 Greenville
6.7
0.0
2.3-6.7
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
34 Warren Fitzgerald
5.3
0.0
6.9-2.1
99.9%
37.2%
5.2%
0.3%
0.0%
0.0%
35 Ypsilanti Community
5.2
0.0
4.2-4.8
56.6%
17.4%
4.1%
0.4%
0.0%
0.0%
36 Owosso
3.6
0.0
5.3-2.7
73.3%
9.2%
1.2%
0.3%
0.0%
0.0%
37 Cadillac
3.3
0.0
3.1-5.9
4.7%
0.4%
0.2%
0.1%
0.1%
0.0%
38 Jackson Northwest
3.1
0.0
3.8-5.2
29.0%
4.6%
0.9%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
39 Stevensville Lakeshore
3.0
0.0
3.1-5.9
20.0%
2.5%
0.4%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
40 New Boston Huron
2.5
0.0
3.4-5.6
0.3%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
41 Bay City Central
1.7
0.0
1.7-7.3
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
42 Holly
1.2
0.0
3.8-4.2
49.7%
9.4%
1.4%
0.1%
0.1%
0.0%
43 Port Huron
-1.2
0.0
4.9-4.1
93.9%
24.4%
2.3%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
44 Redford Thurston
-2.1
0.0
5.1-3.9
79.5%
13.5%
1.2%
0.2%
0.0%
0.0%
45 Holland
-3.3
0.0
3.2-5.8
0.3%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
46 Grosse Pointe North
-4.8
0.0
2.8-6.2
16.4%
4.3%
0.6%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
47 Plainwell
-5.5
0.0
3.5-5.5
0.2%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
48 Jackson
-8.9
0.0
1.7-7.3
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
49 Swartz Creek
-10.5
0.0
1.1-6.9
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
50 Flint Kearsley
-16.0
0.0
1.6-6.4
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
51 Lansing Eastern
-16.8
0.0
1.9-7.1
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
52 Lansing Waverly
-18.3
0.0
0.3-8.7
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
53 Bloomfield Hills Cranbrook Kingswood
-18.7
0.0
4.2-4.8
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
54 Sturgis
-19.5
0.0
0.4-8.6
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
55 Richland Gull Lake
-20.0
0.0
0.5-8.5
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
56 Auburn Hills Avondale
-26.5
0.0
1.9-7.1
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
57 Waterford Kettering
-29.0
0.0
1.0-8.0
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
58 Detroit University Prep Science & Math
-29.3
0.0
2.1-6.9
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
59 Garden City
-33.2
0.0
3.8-5.2
0.2%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
60 St Clair Shores Lake Shore
-34.9
0.0
1.1-7.9
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
61 Warren Woods Tower
-38.6
0.0
1.2-7.8
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
62 Melvindale
-56.3
0.0
0.5-8.5
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%

These 15 games will have the largest impact on the Division 3 playoff field:

Date Team Gpoop Rating Point Spread Win Probability Playoff Odds
Oct. 3, 2025 Flushing
16.6
80.0%
1.7%
Holly
1.2
15.4
20.0%
49.7%
Oct. 10, 2025 Holly
1.2
82.0%
49.7%
Flint Kearsley
-16.0
17.1
18.0%
0.0%
Oct. 24, 2025 Holly
1.2
78.0%
49.7%
Walled Lake Northern
-11.4
12.5
22.0%
0.7%
Oct. 3, 2025 Richland Gull Lake
-20.0
4.0%
0.0%
Battle Creek Central
9.2
-29.2
96.0%
48.7%
Oct. 10, 2025 Holt
21.5
99.0%
47.6%
Lansing Waverly
-18.3
39.9
1.0%
0.0%
Oct. 3, 2025 Petoskey
15.2
77.0%
53.8%
Cadillac
3.3
11.9
23.0%
4.7%
Oct. 17, 2025 Sault Ste Marie
-26.9
1.0%
0.0%
Petoskey
15.2
-42.1
99.0%
53.8%
Oct. 3, 2025 Lansing Eastern
-16.8
4.0%
0.0%
Fowlerville
11.7
-28.6
96.0%
46.0%
Oct. 24, 2025 Garden City
-33.2
57.0%
0.2%
Detroit Cody
-39.1
5.9
43.0%
45.1%
Oct. 3, 2025 Allendale
3.6
15.0%
0.0%
Coopersville
24.1
-20.5
85.0%
57.7%
Oct. 24, 2025 Southgate Anderson
8.9
99.0%
39.3%
Melvindale
-56.3
65.2
1.0%
0.0%
Oct. 17, 2025 Warren Mott
-4.4
50.0%
39.1%
Grosse Pointe North
-4.8
0.4
50.0%
16.4%
Oct. 24, 2025 Warren Woods Tower
-38.6
3.0%
0.0%
Warren Mott
-4.4
-34.3
97.0%
39.1%
Oct. 17, 2025 Battle Creek Pennfield
-2.5
43.0%
39.0%
Jackson Northwest
3.1
-5.6
57.0%
29.0%
Oct. 10, 2025 Marquette
15.6
50.0%
67.9%
Petoskey
15.2
0.4
50.0%
53.8%

These are the 32 most likely playoff qualifiers in Division 3

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