Last updated: Sunday, September 28th, 2025

2025 MHSAA Football Predictions

Updated after every week.

This is the Gpoop Computer Model's ranking of all Division 5 Teams:

Rk Team Gpoop Rating 1 Week Change Record Fcast Make Playoffs Win 1stRd. Win Districts Win Regionals Win Semis Win Finals
1 Frankenmuth
41.2
0.0
7.5-1.5
100.0%
89.8%
58.8%
43.7%
32.6%
19.1%
2 Grand Rapids Catholic Central
40.4
0.0
8.2-0.8
100.0%
96.0%
71.9%
55.6%
33.8%
22.1%
3 Ogemaw Heights
38.6
0.0
6.9-1.1
100.0%
93.8%
78.4%
52.3%
28.1%
17.2%
4 Saginaw Swan Valley
36.4
0.0
8.0-1.0
100.0%
83.3%
50.7%
32.2%
19.3%
9.8%
5 Grand Rapids West Catholic
34.3
0.0
7.0-2.0
100.0%
79.2%
45.4%
31.3%
15.7%
7.4%
6 Richmond
31.4
0.0
8.7-0.3
100.0%
90.4%
55.9%
30.1%
14.1%
5.6%
7 Monroe Jefferson
30.2
0.0
8.3-0.7
100.0%
83.6%
60.7%
33.3%
14.2%
5.5%
8 Armada
29.2
0.0
6.9-2.1
100.0%
63.2%
29.3%
16.8%
8.3%
3.5%
9 Michigan Center
28.0
0.0
7.0-0.0
100.0%
78.6%
51.3%
24.5%
11.2%
3.5%
10 Pontiac Notre Dame Prep
27.9
0.0
4.5-4.5
100.0%
54.8%
27.8%
14.6%
7.9%
1.9%
11 Whitehall
25.5
0.0
6.0-3.0
100.0%
58.8%
22.0%
10.4%
3.0%
1.2%
12 Flat Rock
23.1
0.0
6.3-2.7
100.0%
76.1%
45.6%
20.7%
5.6%
1.7%
13 Kingsford
22.9
0.0
6.9-2.1
100.0%
63.8%
15.4%
6.3%
1.1%
0.7%
14 Dowagiac
18.7
0.0
5.7-2.3
99.9%
73.0%
42.1%
9.9%
2.0%
0.4%
15 Ann Arbor Father Gabriel Richard
18.1
0.0
8.1-0.9
100.0%
71.2%
22.7%
6.4%
1.4%
0.0%
16 Howard City Tri County
16.0
0.0
5.8-3.2
100.0%
63.1%
23.6%
3.1%
0.5%
0.1%
17 Negaunee
16.0
0.0
5.9-3.1
98.0%
25.4%
4.1%
0.7%
0.1%
0.0%
18 Clare
15.6
0.0
5.3-2.7
96.9%
40.4%
11.3%
2.1%
0.6%
0.2%
19 Kalamazoo Hackett Catholic Prep
12.0
0.0
5.9-3.1
88.4%
41.5%
17.1%
2.1%
0.4%
0.1%
20 Muskegon Oakridge
11.5
0.0
5.9-3.1
97.9%
15.9%
4.4%
0.4%
0.0%
0.0%
21 Berrien Springs
6.1
0.0
5.2-2.8
96.9%
32.7%
9.7%
0.9%
0.0%
0.0%
22 Gladwin
5.8
0.0
3.3-4.7
46.6%
2.8%
0.2%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
23 Yale
5.6
0.0
4.5-4.5
58.5%
3.7%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
24 Hopkins
4.5
0.0
3.4-5.6
31.2%
9.4%
3.4%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
25 Detroit Denby
4.4
0.0
5.9-2.1
96.7%
33.0%
16.6%
1.3%
0.1%
0.0%
26 Comstock Park
4.1
0.0
3.5-5.5
50.0%
4.5%
1.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
27 Romulus Summit Academy North
4.1
0.0
6.5-2.5
100.0%
38.9%
5.0%
0.7%
0.0%
0.0%
28 Shepherd
3.3
0.0
5.3-2.7
71.4%
14.3%
2.2%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
29 Lake Odessa Lakewood
2.2
0.0
4.0-5.0
63.1%
11.5%
1.7%
0.2%
0.0%
0.0%
30 Whitmore Lake
1.5
0.0
6.9-2.1
94.2%
12.6%
1.4%
0.2%
0.0%
0.0%
31 Grayling
0.0
0.0
2.9-6.1
8.8%
0.3%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
32 Battle Creek Pennfield
-2.5
0.0
3.3-5.7
39.0%
8.0%
1.2%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
33 South Haven
-3.8
0.0
4.6-4.4
9.9%
1.8%
0.4%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
34 Wyoming Kelloggsville
-4.4
0.0
4.0-4.0
29.6%
4.3%
0.9%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
35 Detroit Southeastern
-4.6
0.0
4.8-3.2
99.7%
39.4%
9.8%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
36 Imlay City
-5.1
0.0
3.2-5.8
0.2%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
37 Muskegon Orchard View
-5.7
0.0
3.5-5.5
6.0%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
38 Hazel Park
-5.7
0.0
6.9-2.1
98.0%
27.3%
6.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
39 Cheboygan
-6.0
0.0
3.1-5.9
8.7%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
40 Grosse Ile
-6.1
0.0
2.5-6.5
5.5%
1.2%
0.4%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
41 Midland Bullock Creek
-7.0
0.0
3.2-4.8
0.8%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
42 Birch Run
-7.4
0.0
4.0-5.0
7.3%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
43 Houghton
-8.5
0.0
2.7-6.3
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
44 Alma
-8.7
0.0
2.0-7.0
4.2%
0.3%
0.2%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
45 Fremont
-8.8
0.0
2.2-6.8
0.3%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
46 Romulus
-9.6
0.0
4.5-4.5
96.9%
7.3%
0.2%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
47 Essexville Garber
-10.3
0.0
3.7-5.3
24.2%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
48 Remus Chippewa Hills
-14.1
0.0
4.4-4.6
9.9%
0.7%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
49 Detroit Voyageur College Prep
-15.4
0.0
2.8-6.2
14.6%
2.9%
1.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
50 Corunna
-16.7
0.0
1.0-7.0
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
51 Milan
-17.1
0.0
2.0-7.0
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
52 Dundee
-23.0
0.0
1.6-7.4
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
53 Grant
-23.1
0.0
1.8-7.2
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
54 Allegan
-24.6
0.0
2.6-6.4
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
55 Standish-Sterling
-26.7
0.0
0.0-8.0
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
56 Hancock
-37.1
0.0
0.3-8.7
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
57 Detroit Cody
-39.1
0.0
4.5-3.5
45.1%
0.8%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
58 Benton Harbor
-39.1
0.0
1.3-7.7
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
59 Livonia Clarenceville
-41.1
0.0
2.4-5.6
1.5%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
60 Bridgeport
-51.6
0.0
0.1-8.9
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
61 Detroit University Prep
-53.5
0.0
2.4-6.6
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
62 Warren Lincoln
-53.9
0.0
1.3-7.7
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%

These 15 games will have the largest impact on the Division 5 playoff field:

Date Team Gpoop Rating Point Spread Win Probability Playoff Odds
Oct. 3, 2025 Hopkins
4.5
50.0%
31.2%
Comstock Park
4.1
0.4
50.0%
50.0%
Oct. 10, 2025 Comstock Park
4.1
61.0%
50.0%
Wyoming Kelloggsville
-4.4
8.5
39.0%
29.6%
Oct. 9, 2025 Detroit Voyageur College Prep
-15.4
48.0%
14.6%
Detroit Old Redford
-13.1
-2.3
52.0%
50.6%
Oct. 10, 2025 Gladwin
5.8
78.0%
46.6%
Midland Bullock Creek
-7.0
12.8
22.0%
0.8%
Oct. 18, 2025 Fowlerville
11.7
83.0%
46.0%
Cheboygan
-6.0
17.8
17.0%
8.7%
Oct. 9, 2025 Detroit Osborn
-56.1
18.0%
0.0%
Detroit Cody
-39.1
-17.0
82.0%
45.1%
Oct. 24, 2025 Garden City
-33.2
57.0%
0.2%
Detroit Cody
-39.1
5.9
43.0%
45.1%
Oct. 3, 2025 Yale
5.6
48.0%
58.5%
North Branch
7.8
-2.2
52.0%
4.5%
Oct. 10, 2025 Algonac
-18.7
10.0%
0.0%
Yale
5.6
-24.3
90.0%
58.5%
Oct. 17, 2025 Croswell-Lexington
15.5
69.0%
3.1%
Yale
5.6
10.0
31.0%
58.5%
Oct. 24, 2025 Flint Powers Catholic
-8.8
21.0%
0.0%
Yale
5.6
-14.3
79.0%
58.5%
Oct. 10, 2025 Marshall
9.8
77.0%
8.8%
Battle Creek Pennfield
-2.5
12.2
23.0%
39.0%
Oct. 17, 2025 Battle Creek Pennfield
-2.5
43.0%
39.0%
Jackson Northwest
3.1
-5.6
57.0%
29.0%
Oct. 24, 2025 Battle Creek Pennfield
-2.5
48.0%
39.0%
Parma Western
-0.7
-1.8
52.0%
1.0%
Oct. 10, 2025 Grayling
0.0
54.0%
8.8%
Kalkaska
-4.1
4.1
46.0%
63.0%

These are the 32 most likely playoff qualifiers in Division 5

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