Saginaw Swan Valley's projected record is 8.0 - 1.0
| Date | Team | Gpoop Rating | Point Spread | Win Prob. | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug. 28, 2025 | Saginaw Swan Valley | 36.4
| 87.0% |
55 |
|
| Croswell-Lexington | 15.5
| 20.9 |
13.0% |
35 |
|
| Sept. 5, 2025 | Frankenmuth | 41.2
| 55.0% |
21 |
|
| Saginaw Swan Valley | 36.4
| 4.8 |
45.0% |
14 |
|
| Sept. 12, 2025 | Saginaw Swan Valley | 36.4
| 79.0% |
31 |
|
| Freeland | 22.4
| 14.1 |
21.0% |
7 |
|
| Sept. 19, 2025 | Saginaw Swan Valley | 36.4
| 82.0% |
28 |
|
| Bay City John Glenn | 19.4
| 17.0 |
18.0% |
7 |
|
| Sept. 26, 2025 | Saginaw Swan Valley | 36.4
| 99.0% |
42 |
|
| Essexville Garber | -10.3
| 46.8 |
1.0% |
6 |
|
| Oct. 3, 2025 | Bridgeport | -51.6
| 1.0% |
||
| Saginaw Swan Valley | 36.4
| -88.0 |
99.0% |
||
| Oct. 10, 2025 | Flint Powers Catholic | -8.8
| 1.0% |
||
| Saginaw Swan Valley | 36.4
| -45.2 |
99.0% |
||
| Oct. 17, 2025 | Saginaw Swan Valley | 36.4
| 99.0% |
||
| Alma | -8.7
| 45.1 |
1.0% |
||
| Oct. 24, 2025 | Saginaw Swan Valley | 36.4
| 99.0% |
||
| Midland Bullock Creek | -7.0
| 43.4 |
1.0% |
Saginaw Swan Valley's most likely first round playoff opponent is Pontiac Notre Dame Prep
| First Round Opponent | Odds You Play Them | Gpoop Rating | Point Spread | Win Prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pontiac Notre Dame Prep | 15.4% | 27.9
| -8.6 |
65.0% |
| Shepherd | 15.3% | 3.3
| -33.2 |
97.0% |
| Clare | 9.6% | 15.6
| -20.9 |
87.0% |
| Michigan Center | 9.6% | 28.0
| -8.4 |
61.0% |
| Whitmore Lake | 8.4% | 1.5
| -34.9 |
97.0% |
| Essexville Garber | 7.9% | -10.3
| -46.8 |
99.0% |
| Lake Odessa Lakewood | 6.5% | 2.2
| -34.2 |
97.0% |
| Frankenmuth | 4.7% | 41.2
| 4.8 |
45.0% |
| Ann Arbor Father Gabriel Richard | 3.9% | 18.1
| -18.4 |
83.0% |
| Armada | 3.5% | 29.2
| -7.2 |
59.0% |
| Gladwin | 3.2% | 5.8
| -30.6 |
96.0% |
| Birch Run | 2.0% | -7.4
| -43.8 |
99.0% |
| Yale | 2.0% | 5.6
| -30.9 |
96.0% |
| Comstock Park | 1.7% | 4.1
| -32.3 |
96.0% |
| Howard City Tri County | 1.5% | 16.0
| -20.4 |
85.0% |
| Remus Chippewa Hills | 1.1% | -14.1
| -50.5 |
99.0% |
| Negaunee | 1.0% | 16.0
| -20.4 |
85.0% |
| Hazel Park | 0.7% | -5.7
| -42.2 |
99.0% |
| Alma | 0.6% | -8.7
| -45.1 |
99.0% |
| Wyoming Kelloggsville | 0.4% | -4.4
| -40.8 |
99.0% |
| Midland Bullock Creek | 0.3% | -7.0
| -43.4 |
99.0% |
| Richmond | 0.2% | 31.4
| -5.1 |
55.0% |
| Kingsford | 0.2% | 22.9
| -13.5 |
79.0% |
| Battle Creek Pennfield | 0.2% | -2.5
| -38.9 |
99.0% |
| Ogemaw Heights | 0.1% | 38.6
| 2.1 |
48.0% |
| First Round Opponent | Odds You Play Them | Gpoop Rating | Point Spread | Win Prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Frankenmuth | 51.3% | 41.2
| 4.8 |
45.0% |
| Howard City Tri County | 11.9% | 16.0
| -20.4 |
85.0% |
| Clare | 7.7% | 15.6
| -20.9 |
87.0% |
| Michigan Center | 3.7% | 28.0
| -8.4 |
61.0% |
| Shepherd | 1.9% | 3.3
| -33.2 |
97.0% |
| Pontiac Notre Dame Prep | 1.8% | 27.9
| -8.6 |
65.0% |
| Ogemaw Heights | 1.3% | 38.6
| 2.1 |
48.0% |
| Armada | 1.2% | 29.2
| -7.2 |
59.0% |
| Lake Odessa Lakewood | 0.7% | 2.2
| -34.2 |
97.0% |
| Grand Rapids Catholic Central | 0.6% | 40.4
| 4.0 |
46.0% |
| Ann Arbor Father Gabriel Richard | 0.3% | 18.1
| -18.4 |
83.0% |
| Gladwin | 0.2% | 5.8
| -30.6 |
96.0% |
| Yale | 0.1% | 5.6
| -30.9 |
96.0% |
| Comstock Park | 0.1% | 4.1
| -32.3 |
96.0% |
| Essexville Garber | 0.1% | -10.3
| -46.8 |
99.0% |
| Kingsford | 0.1% | 22.9
| -13.5 |
79.0% |
| Richmond | 0.1% | 31.4
| -5.1 |
55.0% |
| Whitmore Lake | 0.1% | 1.5
| -34.9 |
97.0% |
| Wyoming Kelloggsville | 0.1% | -4.4
| -40.8 |
99.0% |
| First Round Opponent | Odds You Play Them | Gpoop Rating | Point Spread | Win Prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ogemaw Heights | 23.9% | 38.6
| 2.1 |
48.0% |
| Richmond | 5.0% | 31.4
| -5.1 |
55.0% |
| Kingsford | 4.5% | 22.9
| -13.5 |
79.0% |
| Monroe Jefferson | 3.5% | 30.2
| -6.2 |
57.0% |
| Armada | 3.2% | 29.2
| -7.2 |
59.0% |
| Pontiac Notre Dame Prep | 2.6% | 27.9
| -8.6 |
65.0% |
| Michigan Center | 2.4% | 28.0
| -8.4 |
61.0% |
| Ann Arbor Father Gabriel Richard | 1.6% | 18.1
| -18.4 |
83.0% |
| Negaunee | 1.5% | 16.0
| -20.4 |
85.0% |
| Flat Rock | 0.7% | 23.1
| -13.3 |
78.0% |
| Clare | 0.4% | 15.6
| -20.9 |
87.0% |
| Whitmore Lake | 0.2% | 1.5
| -34.9 |
97.0% |
| Howard City Tri County | 0.2% | 16.0
| -20.4 |
85.0% |
| Frankenmuth | 0.2% | 41.2
| 4.8 |
45.0% |
| Detroit Denby | 0.2% | 4.4
| -32.0 |
96.0% |
| Detroit Southeastern | 0.1% | -4.6
| -41.0 |
99.0% |
| Grand Rapids Catholic Central | 0.1% | 40.4
| 4.0 |
46.0% |
| Gladwin | 0.1% | 5.8
| -30.6 |
96.0% |
| Romulus | 0.1% | -9.6
| -46.1 |
99.0% |
| Romulus Summit Academy North | 0.1% | 4.1
| -32.4 |
96.0% |
| Lake Odessa Lakewood | 0.1% | 2.2
| -34.2 |
97.0% |
| First Round Opponent | Odds You Play Them | Gpoop Rating | Point Spread | Win Prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grand Rapids Catholic Central | 9.3% | 40.4
| 4.0 |
46.0% |
| Grand Rapids West Catholic | 6.4% | 34.3
| -2.1 |
52.0% |
| Monroe Jefferson | 3.8% | 30.2
| -6.2 |
57.0% |
| Flat Rock | 2.6% | 23.1
| -13.3 |
78.0% |
| Richmond | 2.3% | 31.4
| -5.1 |
55.0% |
| Armada | 1.6% | 29.2
| -7.2 |
59.0% |
| Michigan Center | 1.4% | 28.0
| -8.4 |
61.0% |
| Whitehall | 1.4% | 25.5
| -10.9 |
73.0% |
| Dowagiac | 1.2% | 18.7
| -17.8 |
83.0% |
| Pontiac Notre Dame Prep | 0.7% | 27.9
| -8.6 |
65.0% |
| Ann Arbor Father Gabriel Richard | 0.4% | 18.1
| -18.4 |
83.0% |
| Detroit Denby | 0.3% | 4.4
| -32.0 |
96.0% |
| Romulus Summit Academy North | 0.2% | 4.1
| -32.4 |
96.0% |
| Berrien Springs | 0.2% | 6.1
| -30.4 |
96.0% |
| Kalamazoo Hackett Catholic Prep | 0.1% | 12.0
| -24.4 |
90.0% |
| Frankenmuth | 0.1% | 41.2
| 4.8 |
45.0% |
| Howard City Tri County | 0.1% | 16.0
| -20.4 |
85.0% |
| Muskegon Oakridge | 0.1% | 11.5
| -24.9 |
91.5% |
| First Round Opponent | Odds You Play Them | Gpoop Rating | Point Spread | Win Prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Frankenmuth | 3.7% | 41.2
| 4.8 |
45.0% |
| Grand Rapids Catholic Central | 3.6% | 40.4
| 4.0 |
46.0% |
| Ogemaw Heights | 2.5% | 38.6
| 2.1 |
48.0% |
| Michigan Center | 1.8% | 28.0
| -8.4 |
61.0% |
| Richmond | 1.7% | 31.4
| -5.1 |
55.0% |
| Grand Rapids West Catholic | 1.2% | 34.3
| -2.1 |
52.0% |
| Pontiac Notre Dame Prep | 1.2% | 27.9
| -8.6 |
65.0% |
| Monroe Jefferson | 0.9% | 30.2
| -6.2 |
57.0% |
| Flat Rock | 0.8% | 23.1
| -13.3 |
78.0% |
| Armada | 0.8% | 29.2
| -7.2 |
59.0% |
| Dowagiac | 0.4% | 18.7
| -17.8 |
83.0% |
| Whitehall | 0.3% | 25.5
| -10.9 |
73.0% |
| Ann Arbor Father Gabriel Richard | 0.2% | 18.1
| -18.4 |
83.0% |
| Kalamazoo Hackett Catholic Prep | 0.1% | 12.0
| -24.4 |
90.0% |
| Howard City Tri County | 0.1% | 16.0
| -20.4 |
85.0% |
This is how Saginaw Swan Valley's rating has trended, relative to the rest of the MHSAA