Last updated: Sunday, September 28th, 2025

2025 MHSAA Football Predictions

Updated after every week.

Flat Rock's projected record is 6.3 - 2.7

Date Team Gpoop Rating Point Spread Win Prob. Score
Aug. 28, 2025 Flat Rock
23.1
82.0%
43
Gladwin
5.8
17.3
18.0%
26
Sept. 5, 2025 Monroe St Mary Catholic Central
36.6
79.0%
36
Flat Rock
23.1
13.5
21.0%
20
Sept. 12, 2025 Flat Rock
23.1
96.0%
57
Grosse Ile
-6.1
29.2
4.0%
13
Sept. 19, 2025 Flat Rock
23.1
97.0%
36
Carleton Airport
-10.0
33.1
3.0%
0
Sept. 26, 2025 Monroe Jefferson
30.2
59.0%
44
Flat Rock
23.1
7.1
41.0%
22
Oct. 3, 2025 Riverview
14.5
35.0%
Flat Rock
23.1
-8.6
65.0%
Oct. 10, 2025 Milan
-17.1
1.0%
Flat Rock
23.1
-40.2
99.0%
Oct. 17, 2025 Flat Rock
23.1
87.0%
New Boston Huron
2.5
20.6
13.0%
Oct. 24, 2025 Flat Rock
23.1
81.0%
Macomb Lutheran North
6.8
16.3
19.0%

Flat Rock's most likely first round playoff opponent is Romulus Summit Academy North

First Round Opponent Odds You Play Them Gpoop Rating Point Spread Win Prob.
Romulus Summit Academy North 37.8%
4.1
-19.0
84.0%
Monroe Jefferson 27.4%
30.2
7.1
41.0%
Romulus 9.3%
-9.6
-32.7
97.0%
Detroit Denby 7.0%
4.4
-18.7
84.0%
Hazel Park 6.1%
-5.7
-28.8
96.0%
Detroit Southeastern 5.7%
-4.6
-27.7
95.0%
Detroit Cody 4.8%
-39.1
-62.2
99.0%
Detroit Voyageur College Prep 1.1%
-15.4
-38.5
99.0%
Grosse Ile 0.7%
-6.1
-29.2
96.0%
Ann Arbor Father Gabriel Richard 0.1%
18.1
-5.0
55.0%
First Round Opponent Odds You Play Them Gpoop Rating Point Spread Win Prob.
Monroe Jefferson 43.4%
30.2
7.1
41.0%
Romulus Summit Academy North 16.4%
4.1
-19.0
84.0%
Detroit Southeastern 7.6%
-4.6
-27.7
95.0%
Hazel Park 3.6%
-5.7
-28.8
96.0%
Detroit Denby 2.9%
4.4
-18.7
84.0%
Romulus 1.5%
-9.6
-32.7
97.0%
Grosse Ile 0.3%
-6.1
-29.2
96.0%
Ann Arbor Father Gabriel Richard 0.2%
18.1
-5.0
55.0%
Pontiac Notre Dame Prep 0.1%
27.9
4.8
45.0%
Detroit Cody 0.1%
-39.1
-62.2
99.0%
First Round Opponent Odds You Play Them Gpoop Rating Point Spread Win Prob.
Michigan Center 10.7%
28.0
4.9
45.0%
Richmond 10.2%
31.4
8.3
39.0%
Armada 6.0%
29.2
6.1
43.0%
Ann Arbor Father Gabriel Richard 4.6%
18.1
-5.0
55.0%
Pontiac Notre Dame Prep 3.7%
27.9
4.8
45.0%
Monroe Jefferson 3.4%
30.2
7.1
41.0%
Frankenmuth 2.4%
41.2
18.1
17.0%
Detroit Denby 1.4%
4.4
-18.7
84.0%
Detroit Southeastern 0.8%
-4.6
-27.7
95.0%
Saginaw Swan Valley 0.7%
36.4
13.3
22.0%
Whitmore Lake 0.5%
1.5
-21.6
88.0%
Hazel Park 0.4%
-5.7
-28.8
96.0%
Detroit Voyageur College Prep 0.3%
-15.4
-38.5
99.0%
Grand Rapids Catholic Central 0.2%
40.4
17.3
18.0%
Romulus Summit Academy North 0.1%
4.1
-19.0
84.0%
Clare 0.1%
15.6
-7.5
61.0%
Yale 0.1%
5.6
-17.5
83.0%
First Round Opponent Odds You Play Them Gpoop Rating Point Spread Win Prob.
Frankenmuth 7.3%
41.2
18.1
17.0%
Richmond 3.3%
31.4
8.3
39.0%
Saginaw Swan Valley 2.6%
36.4
13.3
22.0%
Armada 1.9%
29.2
6.1
43.0%
Pontiac Notre Dame Prep 1.7%
27.9
4.8
45.0%
Monroe Jefferson 1.4%
30.2
7.1
41.0%
Michigan Center 1.3%
28.0
4.9
45.0%
Ann Arbor Father Gabriel Richard 0.7%
18.1
-5.0
55.0%
Grand Rapids Catholic Central 0.2%
40.4
17.3
18.0%
Ogemaw Heights 0.1%
38.6
15.4
20.0%
Lake Odessa Lakewood 0.1%
2.2
-20.9
87.0%
Dowagiac 0.1%
18.7
-4.5
54.0%
First Round Opponent Odds You Play Them Gpoop Rating Point Spread Win Prob.
Grand Rapids Catholic Central 2.3%
40.4
17.3
18.0%
Ogemaw Heights 1.5%
38.6
15.4
20.0%
Saginaw Swan Valley 0.8%
36.4
13.3
22.0%
Grand Rapids West Catholic 0.5%
34.3
11.2
27.0%
Kingsford 0.2%
22.9
-0.2
50.0%
Frankenmuth 0.2%
41.2
18.1
17.0%
Whitehall 0.1%
25.5
2.4
48.0%

This is how Flat Rock's rating has trended, relative to the rest of the MHSAA