Last updated: Sunday, October 12th, 2025

2025 MHSAA Football Predictions

Updated after every week.

This is the Gpoop Computer Model's ranking of all Division 1 Teams:

Rk Team Gpoop Rating 1 Week Change Record Fcast Make Playoffs Win 1stRd. Win Districts Win Regionals Win Semis Win Finals
1 East Kentwood
59.7
0.0
6.9-2.1
100.0%
84.8%
51.6%
36.1%
19.9%
14.1%
2 Detroit Catholic Central
58.1
0.0
8.9-0.1
100.0%
90.3%
73.1%
50.0%
32.4%
21.3%
3 Clarkston
52.7
0.0
7.8-1.2
100.0%
81.1%
52.2%
30.5%
18.9%
11.2%
4 Grand Blanc
52.5
0.0
8.2-0.8
100.0%
61.5%
30.1%
15.4%
7.5%
4.0%
5 Hudsonville
51.6
0.0
8.8-0.2
100.0%
91.3%
45.4%
28.3%
15.2%
8.8%
6 Saline
51.3
0.0
7.8-1.2
100.0%
92.2%
69.5%
40.3%
19.4%
9.4%
7 Rochester Adams
51.1
0.0
6.9-2.1
100.0%
91.8%
68.0%
44.8%
26.7%
11.0%
8 Rockford
50.7
0.0
6.8-2.2
100.0%
82.1%
64.9%
32.2%
17.1%
9.1%
9 West Bloomfield
49.5
0.0
6.8-2.2
100.0%
60.8%
28.4%
18.3%
9.9%
3.6%
10 Davison
43.2
0.0
8.4-0.6
100.0%
43.9%
16.4%
6.6%
2.5%
0.6%
11 Rochester Hills Stoney Creek
41.4
0.0
5.9-3.1
99.9%
55.5%
17.9%
8.8%
4.2%
0.9%
12 Romeo
37.3
0.0
6.0-3.0
100.0%
75.3%
49.9%
25.6%
10.4%
3.2%
13 Grandville
37.2
0.0
4.2-4.8
100.0%
11.9%
1.4%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
14 Oxford
36.1
0.0
6.1-2.9
100.0%
18.9%
3.4%
1.0%
0.6%
0.1%
15 Brownstown Woodhaven
34.8
0.0
7.8-1.2
100.0%
75.1%
44.1%
15.5%
4.6%
1.1%
16 Utica Eisenhower
33.5
0.0
5.8-3.2
100.0%
42.2%
12.0%
4.4%
0.8%
0.1%
17 Detroit Cass Tech
33.3
0.0
8.4-0.6
100.0%
71.5%
36.9%
8.7%
2.1%
0.4%
18 Sterling Heights Stevenson
32.5
0.0
5.5-3.5
98.8%
37.4%
15.1%
5.7%
1.2%
0.2%
19 Howell
31.8
0.0
6.5-1.5
100.0%
70.3%
22.7%
2.4%
0.3%
0.1%
20 Brighton
30.1
0.0
6.5-1.5
100.0%
48.9%
12.5%
1.5%
0.2%
0.1%
21 Macomb Dakota
30.1
0.0
7.0-2.0
100.0%
50.8%
21.6%
7.6%
2.6%
0.3%
22 Northville
29.8
0.0
7.0-1.0
100.0%
43.0%
11.0%
5.9%
1.4%
0.3%
23 Caledonia
28.9
0.0
3.6-5.4
4.7%
2.1%
0.9%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
24 Lake Orion
28.1
0.0
0.7-8.3
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
25 Farmington
28.1
0.0
7.1-1.9
100.0%
34.8%
10.8%
3.8%
0.6%
0.0%
26 Belleville
27.1
0.0
7.0-1.0
100.0%
46.4%
8.5%
2.0%
0.4%
0.0%
27 Holland West Ottawa
26.9
0.0
2.6-6.4
6.7%
1.1%
0.3%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
28 Grand Ledge
25.0
0.0
7.0-2.0
100.0%
27.3%
3.3%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
29 Utica
24.8
0.0
6.2-2.8
100.0%
37.1%
12.7%
2.7%
0.8%
0.1%
30 Jenison
24.7
0.0
4.0-5.0
70.2%
2.9%
0.2%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
31 Dearborn Fordson
23.6
0.0
5.8-2.2
100.0%
32.6%
10.4%
1.2%
0.2%
0.0%
32 Salem
23.3
0.0
3.9-4.1
52.3%
11.0%
2.1%
0.5%
0.1%
0.0%
33 Hartland
21.9
0.0
4.0-4.0
94.2%
5.7%
0.6%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
34 Clinton Township Chippewa Valley
19.0
0.0
1.3-7.7
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
35 Grand Haven
16.7
0.0
2.1-6.9
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
36 Rochester
16.3
0.0
4.9-4.1
85.5%
4.0%
0.2%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
37 Ann Arbor Huron
16.0
0.0
3.9-5.1
43.3%
4.2%
0.4%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
38 Holt
13.7
0.0
5.3-3.7
42.5%
5.3%
1.2%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
39 Westland John Glenn
8.6
0.0
3.2-4.8
0.8%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
40 New Baltimore Anchor Bay
7.2
0.0
2.1-6.9
0.4%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
41 Ann Arbor Pioneer
5.6
0.0
3.8-5.2
1.8%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
42 Livonia Stevenson
2.8
0.0
2.5-5.5
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
43 Kalamazoo Central
2.2
0.0
5.1-3.9
30.6%
2.5%
0.3%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
44 Troy Athens
2.0
0.0
3.6-5.4
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
45 Troy
1.1
0.0
3.4-5.6
3.6%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
46 Dearborn
0.2
0.0
4.5-3.5
64.4%
2.4%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
47 Novi
-0.1
0.0
2.0-6.0
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
48 Kalamazoo Loy Norrix
-1.9
0.0
3.5-5.5
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
49 Macomb L'Anse Creuse North
-3.1
0.0
0.1-8.9
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
50 Monroe
-4.8
0.0
1.3-7.7
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
51 Bloomfield Hills
-5.2
0.0
2.1-6.9
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
52 Ann Arbor Skyline
-5.7
0.0
2.0-7.0
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
53 Plymouth
-7.9
0.0
2.1-5.9
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
54 Okemos
-9.3
0.0
2.0-7.0
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
55 Grand Rapids Union
-9.3
0.0
0.0-8.0
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
56 Walled Lake Northern
-11.5
0.0
3.0-6.0
0.3%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
57 Wayne Memorial
-12.8
0.0
1.0-7.0
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
58 Taylor
-16.3
0.0
1.2-7.8
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
59 Utica Ford
-16.8
0.0
3.9-5.1
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
60 Fraser
-19.4
0.0
2.0-7.0
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
61 Canton
-27.9
0.0
0.0-8.0
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
62 Dearborn Edsel Ford
-36.4
0.0
0.0-9.0
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
63 Detroit Western
-51.2
0.0
1.3-6.7
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%

These 15 games will have the largest impact on the Division 1 playoff field:

Date Team Gpoop Rating Point Spread Win Probability Playoff Odds
Oct. 17, 2025 Lake Orion
28.1
54.0%
0.0%
Oak Park
24.0
4.1
46.0%
48.2%
Oct. 24, 2025 Oak Park
24.0
96.0%
48.2%
Bloomfield Hills
-5.2
29.2
4.0%
0.0%
Oct. 17, 2025 Plymouth
-7.9
4.0%
0.0%
Salem
23.3
-31.2
96.0%
52.3%
Oct. 17, 2025 Lansing Everett
8.4
45.0%
55.1%
Holt
13.7
-5.3
55.0%
42.5%
Oct. 17, 2025 Ann Arbor Huron
16.0
87.0%
43.3%
Monroe
-4.8
20.8
13.0%
0.0%
Oct. 17, 2025 Livonia Stevenson
2.8
53.0%
0.0%
Dearborn
0.2
2.6
47.0%
64.4%
Oct. 17, 2025 Kalamazoo Central
2.2
49.0%
30.6%
Mattawan
3.3
-1.0
51.0%
29.4%
Oct. 24, 2025 Kalamazoo Loy Norrix
-1.9
46.0%
0.0%
Kalamazoo Central
2.2
-4.1
54.0%
30.6%
Oct. 17, 2025 Jenison
24.7
48.0%
70.2%
Holland West Ottawa
26.9
-2.2
52.0%
6.7%
Oct. 24, 2025 Caledonia
28.9
54.0%
4.7%
Jenison
24.7
4.2
46.0%
70.2%
Oct. 24, 2025 Detroit Northwestern
-43.0
61.0%
71.7%
Detroit Western
-51.2
8.2
39.0%
0.0%
Oct. 24, 2025 East Lansing
4.8
35.0%
80.7%
Holt
13.7
-8.8
65.0%
42.5%
Oct. 17, 2025 Royal Oak
-22.8
1.0%
0.0%
Rochester
16.3
-39.1
99.0%
85.5%
Oct. 24, 2025 Rochester
16.3
87.0%
85.5%
Monroe
-4.8
21.2
13.0%
0.0%
Oct. 17, 2025 Hartland
21.9
99.0%
94.2%
Canton
-27.9
49.8
1.0%
0.0%

These are the 32 most likely playoff qualifiers in Division 1

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