Last updated: Sunday, September 28th, 2025

2025 MHSAA Football Predictions

Updated after every week.

Troy's projected record is 4.4 - 4.6

Date Team Gpoop Rating Point Spread Win Prob. Score
Aug. 28, 2025 Troy
5.9
69.0%
17
Bloomfield Hills
-4.4
10.3
31.0%
13
Sept. 5, 2025 Troy
5.9
55.0%
24
Ferndale
1.2
4.7
45.0%
12
Sept. 12, 2025 Troy
5.9
80.0%
28
Flint Powers Catholic
-8.8
14.6
20.0%
14
Sept. 19, 2025 Clarkston
56.1
99.0%
41
Troy
5.9
50.2
1.0%
0
Sept. 26, 2025 Oak Park
22.2
81.0%
33
Troy
5.9
16.4
19.0%
7
Oct. 3, 2025 Farmington
23.6
83.0%
Troy
5.9
17.8
17.0%
Oct. 10, 2025 Troy
5.9
45.0%
Birmingham Seaholm
11.2
-5.3
55.0%
Oct. 17, 2025 Troy Athens
-1.1
41.0%
Troy
5.9
-7.0
59.0%
Oct. 24, 2025 Troy
5.9
19.0%
North Farmington
21.6
-15.8
81.0%

Troy's most likely first round playoff opponent is Rochester Adams

First Round Opponent Odds You Play Them Gpoop Rating Point Spread Win Prob.
Rochester Adams 13.7%
54.1
48.3
1.0%
Rochester Hills Stoney Creek 11.5%
43.0
37.2
1.0%
West Bloomfield 7.3%
54.6
48.8
1.0%
Brownstown Woodhaven 3.5%
43.1
37.2
1.0%
Utica Eisenhower 1.8%
34.7
28.9
4.0%
Detroit Catholic Central 1.3%
60.1
54.3
1.0%
Detroit Cass Tech 1.0%
47.8
41.9
1.0%
Dearborn Fordson 0.7%
23.5
17.7
17.0%
Macomb Dakota 0.6%
35.6
29.7
4.0%
Farmington 0.6%
23.6
17.8
17.0%
Utica 0.4%
25.5
19.7
15.0%
Dearborn 0.4%
3.0
-2.8
53.0%
Sterling Heights Stevenson 0.3%
32.2
26.3
7.0%
Oxford 0.2%
36.6
30.8
4.0%
Clarkston 0.1%
56.1
50.2
1.0%
First Round Opponent Odds You Play Them Gpoop Rating Point Spread Win Prob.
Detroit Cass Tech 0.3%
47.8
41.9
1.0%
Dearborn Fordson 0.1%
23.5
17.7
17.0%
Rochester Adams 0.1%
54.1
48.3
1.0%
First Round Opponent Odds You Play Them Gpoop Rating Point Spread Win Prob.
First Round Opponent Odds You Play Them Gpoop Rating Point Spread Win Prob.
First Round Opponent Odds You Play Them Gpoop Rating Point Spread Win Prob.

This is how Troy's rating has trended, relative to the rest of the MHSAA