Last updated: Sunday, September 28th, 2025

2025 MHSAA Football Predictions

Updated after every week.

This is the Gpoop Computer Model's ranking of all Division 4 Teams:

Rk Team Gpoop Rating 1 Week Change Record Fcast Make Playoffs Win 1stRd. Win Districts Win Regionals Win Semis Win Finals
1 Harper Woods
53.7
0.0
8.4-0.6
100.0%
99.4%
97.4%
73.9%
55.4%
31.7%
2 Big Rapids
52.2
0.0
8.9-0.1
100.0%
79.6%
56.8%
38.7%
27.6%
16.9%
3 Ludington
49.9
0.0
8.8-0.2
100.0%
73.8%
43.0%
26.4%
19.1%
9.5%
4 Hudsonville Unity Christian
49.3
0.0
8.6-0.4
100.0%
93.0%
68.1%
42.7%
27.4%
15.5%
5 Portland
44.7
0.0
8.8-0.2
100.0%
86.0%
58.4%
36.5%
16.9%
7.2%
6 Goodrich
42.5
0.0
8.0-0.0
100.0%
96.2%
82.0%
37.4%
13.9%
5.7%
7 Williamston
42.4
0.0
8.7-0.3
100.0%
92.7%
71.8%
41.4%
14.3%
5.8%
8 Dearborn Divine Child
40.6
0.0
7.8-0.2
100.0%
96.5%
77.6%
27.2%
11.5%
3.9%
9 Battle Creek Harper Creek
38.1
0.0
7.7-1.3
100.0%
84.7%
47.0%
28.2%
7.3%
2.5%
10 Vicksburg
30.6
0.0
6.9-2.1
100.0%
73.7%
46.7%
15.7%
3.2%
0.8%
11 Spring Lake
28.7
0.0
5.4-3.6
68.2%
14.7%
2.9%
0.6%
0.1%
0.0%
12 Grand Rapids South Christian
26.9
0.0
3.9-5.1
85.4%
40.5%
16.6%
5.0%
0.7%
0.0%
13 Escanaba
26.5
0.0
8.0-1.0
99.9%
48.9%
10.4%
2.0%
0.3%
0.0%
14 Paw Paw
26.5
0.0
5.0-4.0
99.1%
55.3%
27.4%
7.1%
0.7%
0.1%
15 Haslett
26.4
0.0
6.9-2.1
100.0%
59.9%
14.2%
3.6%
0.1%
0.0%
16 Chelsea
24.5
0.0
7.2-1.8
100.0%
69.8%
15.9%
4.7%
0.4%
0.1%
17 Grand Rapids Christian
23.8
0.0
5.5-3.5
88.9%
36.8%
12.7%
2.8%
0.2%
0.0%
18 Freeland
22.4
0.0
6.5-2.5
92.4%
33.1%
9.3%
2.2%
0.7%
0.2%
19 Holland Christian
20.0
0.0
5.2-3.8
84.3%
15.1%
1.2%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
20 Ada Forest Hills Eastern
18.9
0.0
5.0-4.0
66.7%
20.1%
6.3%
1.0%
0.2%
0.1%
21 Three Rivers
18.0
0.0
6.4-2.6
100.0%
46.2%
15.2%
2.0%
0.0%
0.0%
22 Croswell-Lexington
15.5
0.0
3.6-5.4
3.1%
0.5%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
23 Wyoming Godwin Heights
14.4
0.0
6.5-2.5
90.0%
25.1%
3.6%
0.2%
0.0%
0.0%
24 Detroit Country Day
14.4
0.0
3.1-5.9
0.6%
0.1%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
25 Fowlerville
11.7
0.0
4.5-4.5
46.0%
6.4%
0.8%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
26 Lansing Sexton
11.5
0.0
5.6-3.4
77.4%
8.6%
1.4%
0.2%
0.0%
0.0%
27 St Johns
10.8
0.0
5.1-3.9
89.4%
15.6%
1.6%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
28 Marshall
9.8
0.0
3.4-5.6
8.8%
0.8%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
29 Charlotte
8.9
0.0
4.8-4.2
37.8%
3.2%
0.6%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
30 North Branch
7.8
0.0
3.1-5.9
4.5%
1.0%
0.3%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
31 Edwardsburg
7.6
0.0
5.3-3.7
89.9%
13.7%
1.9%
0.2%
0.0%
0.0%
32 Macomb Lutheran North
6.8
0.0
7.3-1.7
92.3%
42.5%
1.5%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
33 Hamilton
5.6
0.0
1.8-7.2
0.4%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
34 Tecumseh
5.6
0.0
5.3-3.7
77.7%
8.3%
0.5%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
35 Redford Union
5.5
0.0
6.7-2.3
99.6%
26.0%
1.3%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
36 Lake Fenton
4.7
0.0
3.2-4.8
27.6%
3.1%
0.4%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
37 Clio
4.5
0.0
5.9-2.1
79.3%
20.0%
1.6%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
38 Wayland
3.9
0.0
2.4-6.6
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
39 Allendale
3.6
0.0
1.3-7.7
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
40 Ortonville Brandon
1.5
0.0
5.0-3.0
72.7%
19.1%
1.1%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
41 Wyoming Lee
0.0
0.0
0.0-3.0
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
42 Parma Western
-0.7
0.0
2.0-7.0
1.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
43 Otsego
-2.6
0.0
2.4-6.6
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
44 Madison Heights Lamphere
-2.6
0.0
6.3-2.7
100.0%
44.2%
1.2%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
45 Sparta
-4.5
0.0
2.3-6.7
0.6%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
46 Harper Woods Chandler Park
-4.8
0.0
5.8-3.2
73.4%
16.6%
0.6%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
47 St Clair
-7.3
0.0
4.4-4.6
42.1%
6.3%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
48 Flint Powers Catholic
-8.8
0.0
0.8-8.2
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
49 Center Line
-9.8
0.0
6.7-1.3
99.1%
22.9%
0.6%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
50 Carleton Airport
-10.0
0.0
2.1-6.9
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
51 Pinckney
-10.8
0.0
1.2-7.8
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
52 Eaton Rapids
-20.8
0.0
1.5-7.5
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
53 Detroit Henry Ford
-24.3
0.0
3.3-4.7
1.6%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
54 Sault Ste Marie
-26.9
0.0
0.2-8.8
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
55 Ionia
-29.9
0.0
0.2-8.8
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
56 Detroit Lincoln-King
-32.9
0.0
2.1-6.9
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
57 Detroit East English
-36.4
0.0
1.0-7.0
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
58 Pontiac
-39.2
0.0
1.3-7.7
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
59 Redford Westfield Prep
-53.3
0.0
2.8-6.2
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
60 Eastpointe
-54.4
0.0
1.1-7.9
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
61 Dearborn Heights Annapolis
-58.2
0.0
0.7-8.3
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
62 Flint Southwestern
-62.7
0.0
1.3-7.7
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%

These 15 games will have the largest impact on the Division 4 playoff field:

Date Team Gpoop Rating Point Spread Win Probability Playoff Odds
Oct. 17, 2025 Detroit Old Redford
-13.1
85.0%
50.6%
Detroit Lincoln-King
-32.9
19.8
15.0%
0.0%
Oct. 24, 2025 Detroit Old Redford
-13.1
99.0%
50.6%
Redford Westfield Prep
-53.3
40.2
1.0%
0.0%
Oct. 17, 2025 Sault Ste Marie
-26.9
1.0%
0.0%
Petoskey
15.2
-42.1
99.0%
53.8%
Oct. 17, 2025 Ionia
-29.9
8.5%
0.0%
Lansing Catholic
-5.3
-24.6
91.5%
46.1%
Oct. 24, 2025 Fowlerville
11.7
53.0%
46.0%
Charlotte
8.9
2.8
47.0%
37.8%
Oct. 3, 2025 Lansing Eastern
-16.8
4.0%
0.0%
Fowlerville
11.7
-28.6
96.0%
46.0%
Oct. 18, 2025 Fowlerville
11.7
83.0%
46.0%
Cheboygan
-6.0
17.8
17.0%
8.7%
Oct. 3, 2025 St Clair
-7.3
79.0%
42.1%
St Clair Shores South Lake
-21.1
13.8
21.0%
44.6%
Oct. 3, 2025 Allendale
3.6
15.0%
0.0%
Coopersville
24.1
-20.5
85.0%
57.7%
Oct. 10, 2025 Sterling Heights
-54.9
1.0%
0.0%
St Clair
-7.3
-47.6
99.0%
42.1%
Oct. 3, 2025 Yale
5.6
48.0%
58.5%
North Branch
7.8
-2.2
52.0%
4.5%
Oct. 17, 2025 Croswell-Lexington
15.5
69.0%
3.1%
Yale
5.6
10.0
31.0%
58.5%
Oct. 24, 2025 Flint Powers Catholic
-8.8
21.0%
0.0%
Yale
5.6
-14.3
79.0%
58.5%
Oct. 24, 2025 Onsted
-8.5
81.0%
40.0%
Detroit Henry Ford
-24.3
15.8
19.0%
1.6%
Oct. 10, 2025 Marshall
9.8
77.0%
8.8%
Battle Creek Pennfield
-2.5
12.2
23.0%
39.0%

These are the 32 most likely playoff qualifiers in Division 4

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